Economic Policy Analysis Specialist
Areas of interest: economic mobility, social assistance policies, health policies2022-3
Does Access to Free Pre-Kindergarten Increase Maternal Labor Supply?
Elias Ilin, Samantha Shampine, and Ellyn Terry
February 2022
Abstract | Full text 
2021-15a
Estimating Occupation- and Location-Specific Wages over the Life Cycle
Elias Ilin and Ellyn Terry
June 2021 (Revised August 2021)
Abstract | Full text
2019-7
Did the 2017 Tax Reform Discriminate against Blue State Voters?
David Altig, Alan Auerbach, Patrick Higgins, Darryl Koehler, Laurence Kotlikoff, Ellyn Terry, and Victor Ye
April 2019
Abstract | Full text
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Research Working Paper
Does Access to Free Pre-Kindergarten Increase Maternal Labor Supply?
Elias Ilin, Samantha Shampine, and Ellie Terry
November 2021
Abstract | Full text
Restructuring the Eligibility Policies of the Child Care and Development Fund to Address Benefits Cliffs and Affordability: Florida as a Case Study
Brittany Birken, Elias Ilin, Alexander Ruder, and Ellyn Terry
Discussion Paper 2021-01 (June 2021)
Abstract | Full text
Benefits Cliffs as a Barrier to Career Advancement for Low-Income Adults: Insights from Employment Services Providers
Alexander Ruder, Julie Siwicki, Ellyn Terry, and Tamilore Toyin-Adelaja
Discussion Paper 2020-2 (March 2020)
Abstract | Full text
Benefits Cliffs and the Financial Incentives for Career Advancement: A Case Study of the Health Care Services Career Pathway
David Altig, Elias Ilin, Alexander Ruder, and Ellyn Terry
Discussion Paper 2020-1 (January 2020)
Abstract | Full text
How Do Firms Respond to Hiring Difficulties? Evidence from the Federal Reserve Banks' Small Business Credit Survey
Two-thirds of firms polled in the Fed's 2017 Small Business Credit Survey have had trouble hiring over the past year. A new discussion paper investigates how firms use compensation, training, and job restructuring to respond.
Ellyn Terry
Mels de Zeeuw
Discussion Paper 2018-01 (March 2018)
Abstract | Full text
2016 Small Business Credit Survey Report:
Employer Firms . April 2017.
Rural Employer Firms . December 2017.
2016
2015 Small Business Credit Survey of the Federal Reserve Banks Report:
Employer Firms. March 2016.
NonEmployer Firms. December 2016.
2015
2014 Atlanta Fed Annual Report. March 2015.
2014 Joint Small Business Credit Survey. February 2015.
Elias Ilin, Alexander Ruder, and Ellyn Terry. "Guaranteed Income (GI) Dashboard: Visualizing Public Benefits Loss for Participants in GI Pilot Programs." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Partners Update (October 21, 2021).
Elias Ilin and Ellyn Terry. "Policy Rules Database: Visualizing the US Social Safety Net." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Partners Update (August 24, 2021).
Brittany Birken and Ellyn Terry. "What Can Be Done about the Childcare Benefits Cliff? A Case Study in Florida." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Partners Update (June 21, 2021).
Elias Ilin, Alexander Ruder, and Ellyn Terry. "The Racial Income Gap and Benefits Cliffs." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Partners Update (September/October 2020).
Elias Ilin, John Robertson, Alexander Ruder, and Ellyn Terry. "Amid the COVID-19 Crisis, a Tale of Two Southeastern Cities." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Partners Update (COVID-19 Publications 2020).
Charles Davidson and Ellyn Terry. "The Gazelle Project" Economy Matters magazine series:
"Part 1: Is the Herd Thinning?," September 17, 2015.
"Part 2: Why Gazelle Founders Set Sail," November 12, 2015.
"Part 3: Financing the Herd," December 23, 2015.
"Part 4: Social Capital—The Battle Cry of the Gazelle," March 10, 2016.
"Part 5: For Gazelle Founders, Hiring Goes beyond the Resume," June 16, 2016.
2020
Elias Ilin, John Robertson, Alex Ruder, and Ellyn Terry. "Amid the COVID-19 Crisis, a Tale of Two Cities," macroblog. April 9, 2020.
2019
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Digging into Older Americans' Flat Participation Rate ," macroblog. September 26, 2019.
Ellyn Terry. "Making Analysis of the Current Population Survey Easier," macroblog. July 15, 2019.
Alan Auerbach, Darryl Koehler, Michael Leiseca, Laurence Kotlikoff, Victor Ye, David Altig, Patrick Higgins, and Ellyn Terry. "The Tax Cut and Jobs Act, SALT, and the Blue State Blues: It's All Relative," macroblog. June 7, 2019.
Ellyn Terry. "Trends in Hispanic Labor Force Participation," macroblog. February 14, 2019.
2018John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Weighting the Wage Growth Tracker," macroblog. February 28, 2018.
2017Ellyn Terry. "Is Poor Health Hindering Economic Growth?," macroblog. August 30, 2017.
Ellyn Terry. "An Update on Labor Force Participation," macroblog. July 12, 2017.
Ellyn Terry. "Are Small Loans Hard to Find? Evidence from the Federal Reserve Banks' Small Business Survey," macroblog. May 11, 2017.
Dave Altig and Ellyn Terry. "Can Tight Labor Markets Inhibit Investment Growth?," macroblog. February 28, 2017.
Ellyn Terry. "Examining Changes in Labor Force Participation," macroblog. February 6, 2017.
2016Ellyn Terry. "Outside Looking In: Why Has Labor Force Participation Increased?," macroblog. November 22, 2016.
Ellyn Terry. "Is There a Gender Wage Growth Gap?," macroblog. November 14, 2016.
Ellyn Terry. "It's Not Just Millennials Who Aren't Buying Homes," macroblog. June 9, 2016.
Ellyn Terry. "Are People in Middle-Wage Jobs Getting Bigger Raises?," macroblog. May 19, 2016.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Labor Force Participation: Aging Is Only Half of the Story," macroblog. April 15, 2016.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Which Wage Growth Measure Best Indicates Slack in the Labor Market?," macroblog. April 4, 2016.
Ellyn Terry. "Collateral Requirements and Nonbank Online Lenders: Evidence from the 2015 Small Business Credit Survey," macroblog. March 15, 2016.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Are Paychecks Picking Up the Pace?," macroblog. February 17, 2016.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Shrinking Labor Market Opportunities for the Disabled?," macroblog. January 29, 2016.
2015John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Labor Report Silver Lining? ZPOP Ratio Continued to Rise in September," macroblog. October 5, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "The ZPOP Ratio: A Simple Take on a Complicated Labor Market," macroblog. September 22, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Have Changing Job and Worker Characteristics Restrained Wage Growth?," macroblog. July 15, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "New Atlanta Fed Series Shows Wage Growth Held Steady in May," macroblog. June 29, 2015.
Ellyn Terry. "Will the Elevated Share of Part-Time Workers Last?," macroblog. June 19, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Signs of Strengthening Wage Growth?," macroblog. May 1, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Signs of Improvement in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation," macroblog. March 6, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "What's (Not) Up with Wage Growth?," macroblog. February 17, 2015.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Are We Becoming a Part-Time Economy?," macroblog. February 12, 2015.
Ellyn Terry. "Contrasting the Financing Needs of Different Types of Firms: Evidence From a New Small Business Survey," macroblog. January 15, 2015.
2014John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Chances of Finding Full-Time Employment Have Improved," macroblog. December 23, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Exploring the Increasingly Widespread Decline in Involuntary Part-Time Work," macroblog. December 19, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "For Middle-Skill Occupations, Where Have All the Workers Gone?," macroblog. November 20, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Wage Growth of Part-Time versus Full-Time Workers: Evidence from the CPS," macroblog. November 10, 2014.
Melinda Pitts, John Robertson, and Ellyn Terry. "What's behind Declining Labor Force Participation? Test Your Hypothesis with Our New Data Tool," macroblog. October 15, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "What Kind of Job for Part-Time Pat?," macroblog. August 25, 2014.
Ellyn Terry. "What’s Driving the Part-Time Labor Market? Results from an Atlanta Fed Survey," macroblog. August 5, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Part-Time for Economic Reasons: A Cross-Industry Comparison," macroblog. July 18, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Looking Beyond the Job-Finding Rate: The Difficulty of Finding Full-Time Work," macroblog. June 9, 2014.
Dave Altig, John Robertson, and Ellyn Terry. "How Discouraged Are the Marginally Attached?," macroblog. June 2, 2014.
Ellyn Terry. "Where Do Young Firms Get Financing? Evidence from the Atlanta Fed Small Business Survey," macroblog. May 20, 2014.
Dave Altig and Ellyn Terry. "How Has Disability Affected Labor Force Participation?," macroblog. May 9, 2014.
Melinda Pitts, John Robertson, and Ellyn Terry. "Reasons for the Decline in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation," macroblog. April 10, 2014.
Melinda Pitts, John Robertson, and Ellyn Terry. "A Closer Look at Post-2007 Labor Force Participation Trends," macroblog. April 8, 2014.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "The Pattern of Job Creation and Destruction by Firm Age and Size," macroblog. February 26, 2014.
Ellyn Terry. "What Accounts for the Decrease in the Labor Force Participation Rate?," macroblog. January 17, 2014.
Timothy Dunne and Ellyn Terry. "Labor Force Participation Rates Revisited," macroblog. December 19, 2013.
2013Ellyn Terry. "Is Credit to Small Businesses Flowing Faster? Evidence from the Atlanta Fed Small Business Survey," macroblog. November 15, 2013.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Certain about Uncertainty," macroblog. October 4, 2013.
Jessica Dill and Ellyn Terry. "Examining the Reported Decline in the First-Time Homebuyer Share," Real Estate Research. August 29, 2013.
Ellyn Terry. "The Hiring Forecasts of Small Firms: Will the Pace of Employment Growth Pick Up?," macroblog. June 7, 2013.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "2013 Business Hiring Plans: Employment, Effort, Hours, and Fiscal Uncertainty," macroblog. February 5, 2013.
Ellyn Terry. "Anticipating Growth despite a Slowdown? Results from the Recent Small Business Survey," macroblog. December 12, 2012.
2012Whitney Mancuso and Ellyn Terry. "2013 Business Hiring Gazelles, and Why They Matter," macroblog. November 29, 2012.
Ellyn Terry. "Trends in Small Business Lending," macroblog. October 4, 2012.
John Robertson and Ellyn Terry. "Young versus mature small firms seeking credit," macroblog. June 28, 2012.
2011Ellyn Terry. "Stimulating small business activity: Still a struggle," macroblog. June 27, 2011.
Ellyn Terry. "What's Going On with the Labor Force Participation Rate?." Economy Matters podcast. October 10, 2017.
Ellyn Terry. "It's Unhealthy—The Decline in Labor Force Participation." ECONversations. August 23, 2017.