Center for Quantitative Economic Research

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Center for Quantitative Economic Research

The Center for Quantitative Economic Research (CQER) of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta advances empirical research in economics and promotes forecasting models usable for policy studies.

Features

Image for Latest Forecast for GDPNow

Latest Forecast for GDPNow

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2014 was 3.0 percent on August 19, up from 2.8 percent on August 13.
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Image for GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

Although real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the second quarter of 2014 pushed the GDP-based recession indicator up to 24.1 percent, the level is still firmly anchored in nonrecession territory. This index from well-known economist James Hamilton assigns recession start and end dates based on observed dynamics in the U.S. economy.
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Center for Financial Innovation and Stability (CenFIS)

Advancing knowledge of the connection between financial innovation and stability through conferences and research on issues and government policies

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