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Research & the Economy


Updates & Other News

12/31/13
Georgia, Tennessee Lead Regional Payroll Growth in November

12/30/13
EconSouth Explores Productivity, Technology, and Long-Run Growth

12/27/13
Is the Labor Force Participation Rate about to Fall Again?

12/24/13
The Times They Are a-Changing (But Not as Much as We’d Like)

12/23/13
Goodwill to Man

12/23/13
Exploring Immigrant Contributions to Housing Demand

12/23/13
Southeast Commercial Construction Update: Activity, Costs Up

12/20/13
Basel III and Stress Tests

12/20/13
State-level Jobs Calculator Updated with November Data

12/20/13
December Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged

12/20/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

12/19/13
Labor Force Participation Rates Revisited

12/19/13
Deflation Probability Measures Hold at Zero

12/19/13
Southeast Housing Update: Sales Growth Slows

12/18/13
Moderate Growth for Southeast Economy

12/18/13
Middle Tennessee Consumer Confidence: Down but Not Out

12/17/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Increased at Same Pace

12/16/13
Retailers Channeling Elvis

12/16/13
Many Banks, Many Builders: Concentration in the Construction Industry

12/13/13
November PMI: A Harbinger of Future Expansion?

12/12/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

12/12/13
Deflation Probability Measures Unchanged

12/11/13
Beige Book: Southeastern Economy Growing Moderately

12/10/13
Regional Economic Snapshot: Stronger Data but Weaker Optimism

12/6/13
Atlanta Fed’s Labor Market Tools Updated with November Data

12/5/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

12/5/13
Deflation Probability Measures Still Zero

12/4/13
Is (Risk) Sharing Always a Virtue?

12/4/13
Part 2: What Caused Atlanta’s House Prices to Drop Again in 2011?

12/3/13
Helping Understand Labor Markets

12/2/13
Small and Orthodox Fiscal Multipliers at the Zero Lower Bound

12/2/13
New Atlanta Fed Research Explores Links between Fed Policy, Commodity Prices

11/27/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain at Zero Percent

11/26/13
Supervising Bank Compensation Policies

11/26/13
Giving Thanks for Faster Payroll Growth

11/22/13
Expert Advises Rethinking Higher Education

11/21/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

11/21/13
Southeastern Housing Update: Housing Continues Growing, Only More Slowly

11/21/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

11/21/13
Deflation Probability Measures at Zero Percent

11/20/13
The Shadow Knows (the Fed Funds Rate)

11/20/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Increased

11/19/13
Southeastern Insights: Slow Growth with a Dash of Uncertainty and Caution

11/15/13
Is Credit to Small Businesses Flowing Faster? Evidence from the Atlanta Fed Small Business Survey

11/14/13
Monetary Policy Surprises, Positions of Traders, and Changes in Commodity Futures Prices

11/14/13
Minimum Distance Estimation of Possibly Non-Invertible Moving Average Models

11/14/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

11/14/13
Atlanta Fed’s Jobs Calculator Drills Down to the States

11/14/13
Deflation Probability Measures Still Low

11/13/13
Regional Manufacturing Rebounds in October

11/13/13
Business Inflation Expectations Remain Steady

11/12/13
The End of Asset Purchases: Is That the Big Question?

11/8/13
Atlanta Fed’s Labor Market Tools Updated with October Data

11/7/13
What Caused Atlanta’s House Prices to Drop Again in 2011?

11/7/13
Deflation Probabilities Remain Low

11/7/13
The Cream of the Crop

11/6/13
Noted Economist Tests Theories in the Real World

11/5/13
Slow Growth with a Dash of Uncertainty and Caution

11/5/13
Energy Industry Keeps on Track

10/31/13
Deflation Probability Measure Still Zero

10/31/13
Acadiana Spotlight: Optimistic about Local Real Estate Conditions

10/30/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Inched Up

10/29/13
Tourism Update: Demand for Southern Exposure Remains Strong

10/28/13
Entry, Exit, and the Determinants of Market Structure

10/28/13
Misspecification-Robust Inference in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Irrelevant Risk Factors

10/25/13
Listening to Students

10/24/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain Low

10/24/13
Southeastern Housing Update: Gains Show Signs of Softening

10/22/13
Labor Market Tools Updated with September Data

10/18/13
Why Was the Housing-Price Collapse So Painful? (And Why Is It Still?)

10/17/13
Housing Recovery Continues

10/17/13
Deflation Probabilities Nearly Unchanged

10/17/13
Transportation Keeps On Truckin’

10/16/13
Beige Book: Economy Expanding Moderately

10/16/13
October Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged

10/15/13
Regional Manufacturing Cools in September

10/11/13
Will the Housing Market Recovery Boost Retail Consumption?

10/10/13
What We’re Hearing

10/10/13
Deflation Probabilities Little Changed

10/9/13
Delving into Labor Markets

10/8/13
Middle Tennessee’s Economy: What a Difference a Year Makes

10/4/13
Certain about Uncertainty

10/3/13
Deflation Probability Measures Hold

10/3/13
Why No Taper? One Man’s View

10/3/13
Economic and Financial Highlights

10/3/13
Candid Conversations with Bankers

10/1/13
Alabama Economy Improving

9/27/13
Systemically Important Failure versus Financial System Failure

9/27/13
EconSouth explores New Orleans’ Economic Resurgence

9/26/13
One Deflation Probability Measure Still at Zero; Other Rises

9/26/13
Economic and Financial Highlights: September 26, 2013

9/26/13
The New Normal? Slower R&D Spending

9/24/13
Regional Job Growth Loses Some Traction

9/23/13
The Dynamics of Economic Dynamism

9/23/13
Optimism, but with Increasing Near-Term Apprehension

9/20/13
Land Prices and Unemployment

9/20/13
A Moment-Matching Method for Approximating Vector Autoregressive Processes by Finite-State Markov Chains

9/20/13
Does the Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction Really Support Upward Mobility?

9/20/13
September Business Inflation Expectations Dip

9/19/13
Deflation Probability Measure Still Zero

9/19/13
Regional Real Estate Poll Shows Continuing but Moderating Strength

9/17/13
The ABCs of LFPR

9/17/13
Regional Employment: Private-Sector Services Carry the Load

9/17/13
Sticky Price CPI Increased

9/16/13
Coastal Restoration a Vital Economic Issue

9/13/13
Job Reallocation over Time: Decomposing the Decline

9/12/13
Both Deflation Probability Measures Decline

9/10/13
Southeast Economy Improving

9/10/13
Education Resources Not Only for Educators

9/6/13
Labor Market Tools Updated with August Data

9/5/13
Deflation Probability Measure Notches Up

9/4/13
Beige Book: Modest, Moderate Growth Continues

8/30/13
FASB Proposes (Too?) Early Loan Loss Recognition

8/30/13
Still Waiting for Takeoff...

8/29/13
Deflation Probability Measure Lifts and Settles Back at Zero

8/29/13
A Toast to Small Business Growth

8/29/13
Examining the Reported Decline in the First-Time Homebuyer Share

8/27/13
Southeast Housing Update: Home Sales Up, but Heated Pace Cools

8/23/13
Does Sprawl Really Cause Segregation?

8/22/13
Deflation Probability Measure Falls to Zero

8/22/13
Employment Rebound Gains Momentum in Florida and Georgia

8/20/13
Atlanta Fed Research Examines Drivers of Default

8/20/13
Energy Brightens Louisiana's Manufacturing Outlook

8/19/13
Does Forward Guidance Reach Main Street?

8/16/13
GDP, Jobs, and Growth Accounting

8/15/13
Deflation Probabilities Decrease

8/15/13
Cleveland Rocks!

8/15/13
Modest Gains in Southeast Economy

8/15/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Notched Down in July

8/14/13
Business Inflation Expectations Rise in August

8/13/13
Regional Manufacturing’s Expansion Slows

8/9/13
Myth and Reality: The Low-Wage Job Machine

8/9/13
Recent Trends in Bank Construction Lending and Sentiment

8/8/13
Deflation Probabilities Up from Last Week

8/8/13
The ACA and Uncertainty around Business Health Care Insurance Premiums

8/5/13
Unemployment, Negative Equity, and Strategic Default

8/5/13
Modest Growth and Optimism Continue in the Summer

8/5/13
Water, Water Everywhere: An Update on the Georgia Economy

8/2/13
What a Difference a Month Makes? Maybe Not Much

8/2/13
Labor Market Tools Updated with July Data

8/1/13
Deflation Probability Declines Further

7/31/13
Reducing Systemic Risk or Merely Transforming It?

7/31/13
’Tis the Season to Seasonally Adjust

7/29/13
Southeast Housing Update: Home Sales Growth, Prices Remain Positive; Inventory Shortages Persist

7/25/13
Deflation Probabilities Dip Slightly

7/24/13
Has Innovation Peaked? Atlanta Forum Explores

7/24/13
The Shape of the Housing Recovery in Atlanta

7/23/13
Gauging Regional Employer Sentiment

7/22/13
Southeast Louisiana Housing Market Update

7/19/13
Southeast’s Modest Economic Growth Continued in May

7/18/13
Deflation Probability Declines Further

7/18/13
Cigarettes a Drag on Wages, Fed Researchers Say

7/17/13
Are Household Formations on the Verge of Taking Off?

7/17/13
Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged in July

7/17/13
Beige Book: Modest Growth and Optimism

7/16/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Slowed in June

7/16/13
Commodity Prices and Inflation: The Perspective of Firms

7/11/13
Revamped Economic & Financial Highlights Debuts

7/11/13
Deflation Probability Declines

7/11/13
Regional Manufacturing Welcomes a Pickup in New Orders

7/11/13
Even One Is Too Much: The Economic Consequences of Being a Smoker

7/10/13
Why Housing Rebound May Continue at a Slower Rate Than Hoped For

7/9/13
Tennessee’s Economic Forecast? Not Too Bad

7/8/13
Let’s Talk about Oil

7/8/13
Old, Sick, Alone, and Poor: A Welfare Analysis of Old-Age Social Insurance Programs

7/5/13
A Quick Independence Day Weekend, Post-Employment Report Update

7/5/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with Latest Data, Revisions

7/3/13
Deflation Probabilities Tick Down

7/1/13
The Asymmetric Impact of Offshoring and Low-skill Immigration on Employment and Wages

7/1/13
Misrepresentation, or a Failure in Due Diligence? Another Argument

6/28/13
Southeast Housing Update: May Home Sales Remain Upbeat

6/27/13
Economic & Financial Highlights

6/27/13
Deflation Probabilities Rose

6/27/13
A Cottage Industry Goes Big: Institutional Investors Flock to Single-Family Homes

6/26/13
Deflation Probabilities Correction

6/26/13
Is the Desire to Become a Homeowner a Thing of the Past?

6/25/13
Getting Back to Normal?

6/25/13
Not So Fast: Sixth District Payroll Growth Takes a Breather in May

6/25/13
Steady As She Goes?

6/21/13
Value at Risk: A Valuable Tool That Was Greatly Oversold

6/21/13
Deflation Probabilities Steady

6/21/13
Business Inflation Expectations Decline Slightly

6/20/13
Rebuild and Reshape

6/19/13
Tracking Slow, Painful Progress

6/19/13
Asset-Quality Misrepresentation as a Factor in the Financial Crisis

6/18/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Rose in May

6/14/13
Regional Manufacturing Expansion Slows

6/13/13
Deflation Probabilities Rise

6/12/13
Is Investing in Housing Really a Losing Proposition?

6/12/13
Atlanta Fed Blog Gets Renewed Focus

6/11/13
Data Digest: Housing, Manufacturing Were Bright Spots in April

6/11/13
Explaining and Connecting

6/10/13
Casting a Web over Jobs Data

6/7/13
The Hiring Forecasts of Small Firms: Will the Pace of Employment Growth Pick Up?

6/7/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with Latest Data, Revisions

6/6/13
Deflation Probabilities Tick Up

6/6/13
Turning through the New Beige Book

6/5/13
The Semantics of Monetary Policy

5/31/13
Barons’ Help Brightens Birmingham

5/30/13
Economic & Financial Highlights

5/30/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Zero

5/30/13
At Least One Reason Why People Shouldn’t Hate QE

5/24/13
Regional Job Growth Helps Ward off Another Spring Swoon

5/23/13
A Subtle View of Labor Market Improvement

5/23/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Zero

5/23/13
Southeast Housing Update: Sales Continue to Rise despite Constraining Factors

5/22/13
Lessons from the Housing GSEs for Resolving Too Big to Fail

5/21/13
Nashville’s Music City Center: If You Build It, They Will Come

5/16/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Zero

5/16/13
Labor Costs, Inflation Expectations, and the Affordable Care Act: What Businesses Are Telling Us

5/16/13
Sticky Price CPI Growth Rose in April

5/15/13
Data Digest: Modest Improvements in Southeast Economy

5/15/13
Business Inflation Expectations Relatively Unchanged

5/15/13
The Regional Housing Recovery: Where Are the Jobs?

5/13/13
Labor Force Participation and the Unemployment Threshold

5/10/13
Behavior’s Place in the Labor Force Participation Debate

5/10/13
Expansion in Regional Manufacturing Continues

5/9/13
Deflation Probability Measures Still at Zero

5/9/13
Weighing In on the Recent Discrepancy in the Inflation Statistics

5/8/13
Productivity: The New Badge of Honor for Businesses

5/8/13
Food for Thought

5/3/13
Building a Better Jobs Calculator: Choose Your Own Payroll/Household Employment Ratio

5/3/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with April Data, Revisions

5/2/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Virtually Stationary

5/1/13
Travel Outlook Remains Bright, but Challenges Remain

4/30/13
Southeast Housing Update: Inventory Shortages Appear to Constrain Sales

4/26/13
Data Digest: Southeast Economy Improving Steadily

4/25/13
Deflation Probability Updated

4/25/13
Beige Book: Southeast, U.S. Exhibiting Similar Trends

4/23/13
Regional Employment Grew in March, Led by Florida and Georgia

4/22/13
Too Big to Fail: Not Easily Resolved

4/18/13
Reflections on the 2013 Financial Markets Conference

4/18/13
Deflation Probabilities Remain at Zero

4/17/13
So Goes the Consumer...

4/17/13
Airports Soar Ahead

4/17/13
Business Inflation Expectations Rise Slightly in April

4/16/13
Improvement in the Outlook? The BIE Panel Thinks So

4/16/13
March’s Sticky CPI Growth Slowed

4/15/13
Regional Manufacturing Remains Positive in March (and in the Longer-Term View)

4/12/13
Higher Education: A Deflating Bubble?

4/11/13
Is Transportation Feeling Sequestration’s Effects?

4/11/13
Deflation Probabilities Remain at Zero

4/5/13
Labor Market Update: Muddy Waters Continue to Run Deep

4/5/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with March Data, Revisions

4/4/13
Commercial Real Estate Gains Traction

4/4/13
Still-Steady Deflation Probabilities

4/3/13
Regional Employment Increases

4/3/13
Bordering on a Boom: Mexico Manufacturing Builds a Future

4/3/13
Innovation and Growth with Financial, and other, Frictions

4/2/13
Professor Discusses Higher Education Bubble

3/29/13
Deflation Probabilities Stable

3/28/13
Pent-up Optimism?

3/28/13
The Same-Old, Same-Old Labor Market

3/28/13
Despite Turbulence, Southern Aerospace Poised for Take-Off

3/27/13
Better Than It Seemed

3/25/13
Southeast Housing Update: The Recovery Continues

3/22/13
March Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged

3/21/13
Deflation Probabilities Still at Zero

3/19/13
Being Ahead of the Curve: Not Always a Good Thing

3/19/13
Conditions Improving in Tampa, but Not Quite Fully Recovered

3/15/13
Regional Manufacturing Continues Its Slow but Steady Climb; Can It Continue?

3/15/13
February’s Sticky CPI Rose at Same Pace as Last Month

3/14/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain at Zero

3/14/13
The Sixth District’s Exports to the European Union

3/13/13
Will Taxpayers Get a Truly Fair Deal with Housing Finance Reform?

3/8/13
You Say You’re a Homeowner and Not a Renter? Think Again.

3/8/13
Will the Next Exit from Monetary Stimulus Really Be Different from the Last?

3/8/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with New Data, Revisions

3/7/13
Deflation Probabilities Don't Move

3/6/13
Beige Book Highlights: Modest Growth Continues

3/5/13
Behind the Numbers

3/1/13
What the Dual Mandate Looks Like

2/28/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Very Low

2/22/13
Nature Abhors an Output Gap

2/22/13
Modest Growth Expected for Tennessee

2/21/13
Deflation Probabilities Still Low

2/21/13
January’s Sticky CPI Inflation Rises

2/20/13
Southeast Housing Update: Homes Sales Off to a Solid Start in January; Outlook More Upbeat

2/15/13
Promoting Job Creation: Don’t Forget the Old Guys

2/15/13
Alabama’s Outlook: A Little Better Than 2012

2/14/13
Deflation Probabilities Remain Low

2/14/13
EconSouth Examines Global Economy in 2012, Outlook for 2013

2/13/13
Regional Manufacturing Index Jumps in January

2/13/13
Business Inflation Expectations Virtually Unchanged in February

2/12/13
Southeast Economy Improved Modestly in December

2/8/13
Examining Vacant Property Ordinances

2/7/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain Low

2/5/13
2013 Business Hiring Plans: Employment, Effort, Hours, and Fiscal Uncertainty

2/1/13
Half-Full Glasses

2/1/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with Employment Data, Revisions

1/31/13
The Southeast’s Sunny Spring Yields to Overcast Fall

1/31/13
Deflation Probabilities Fell Again

1/30/13
Survey Highlights Regional Employment Trends

1/25/13
Two Leaps Forward, One Step Back for Regional Labor Markets

1/25/13
U.S. Energy Renaissance

1/24/13
Deflation Probabilities Tick Down, Still Low

1/23/13
Forecast for 2013: Cloudy with a Chance of Growth?

1/23/13
Southeast Housing Update: Homes Sales Rise, Inventory Levels Fall

1/18/13
Modest Progress in November for Southeast Economy

1/18/13
Still a Skeptic: Addressing a Few Questions about Nominal GDP Targeting

1/17/13
Deflation Probability Measure Unchanged

1/16/13
Latest Beige Book Released

1/16/13
Sticky CPI Inflation Decelerated to 1.5 Percent

1/16/13
Business Inflation Expectations Dip in January

1/11/13
Regional Labor Markets: Forward-Looking Indicators Reveal Little Change

1/10/13
Visualizing Improvement

1/10/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain Low

1/9/13
Regional Manufacturing Survey Ended 2012 with a Fizzle, but Could Start 2013 with a Bang

1/7/13
Atlanta Fed Research Explores Link between Housing Equity and Wages

1/7/13
Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting in Practice

1/4/13
Southeast Commercial Construction Activity Continues Modest Growth

1/4/13
Jobs Calculator Updated with Employment Data, Revisions

1/3/13
Deflation Probability Measures Remain Steady

1/2/13
What the FOMC Said: More Clarification

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