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Economists


Photo of Patrick Higgins Patrick Higgins
Senior Economist

Research Department
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
1000 Peachtree Street N.E.
Atlanta, Georgia 30309-4470
404-498-7906
patrick.higgins@atl.frb.org

To interview economists, press should contact Public Affairs at 404-498-8748.


  • Biography
  • Research

Biography

Patrick Higgins is a senior economist in the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. He helps develop forecasting models and contributes to the Atlanta Fed's weekly Deflation Probabilities report. Higgins is also involved in developing "nowcasting" techniques to help monitor the state of the economy in real time. His research interests include macroeconomics, econometrics, and forecasting. He was promoted to senior economist in 2013. He also contributes to the Atlanta Fed's macroblog, which provides commentary on economic topics, including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, and the Southeast economy.

Prior to joining the Atlanta Fed as an economist in 2007, Higgins spent seven years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. There, he served as a research assistant and economic analyst.

Higgins's work has appeared in the International Journal of Finance & Economics, as well as the Cleveland Fed's Economic Commentary. He is a member of the National Association for Business Economics.

A native of Columbus, Ohio, Higgins earned a bachelor's degree in economics and mathematics from Oberlin College.

Research

Research Interests

Macroeconomics
Econometrics
Forecasting

Journal Articles

Galati, Gabriele; Patrick Higgins; Owen Humpage; and William Melick. 2007. "Option Prices, Exchange Market Intervention, and the Higher Moment Expectations Channel: A User's Guide," International Journal of Finance & Economics, 12(2): 225–47.

Federal Reserve Publications

2011. "GDP Growth, the Unemployment Rate, and Okun's Law." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta EconSouth, 13(2): 2–3.

June 2006. John B. Carlson, Ben Craig, Patrick Higgins, and William R. Melick. "FOMC Communications and the Predictability of Near-Term Policy Decisions." Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary.

September 2005. Patrick Higgins and Owen F. Humpage. "Nondeliverable Forwards: Can We Tell Where the Renminbi Is Headed?" Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary.

August 2005. Patrick Higgins and Owen F. Humpage. "The Chinese Renminbi: What's Real, What's Not." Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary.

2004. "Walking on a Fence: Brazil's Public-Sector Debt." Patrick C. Higgins and Owen F. Humpage. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Policy Discussion Papers.

December 2004. "Oil Prices: Backward to the Future?" Joseph G. Haubrich, Patrick Higgins, and Janet Miller. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary.

Atlanta Fed Working Papers

2014-7
GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting"
Patrick Higgins
July 2014
Abstract || Full text in PDF (739 KB)

Unpublished Articles

"Technical Details for Computing Deflation Probabilities with TIPS Prices"

"Nowcasting GDP Growth: A Bridge Equation Too Far?"