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Economic & Financial Highlights


Economic & Financial Highlights tracks data from a number of series. Below are the last seven days’ worth of charts, from newest to oldest, and analysis to provide context for the data. The “Search Charts” box at right allows you to search historical charts using various criteria.

Contributions from Federal, State, and Local Government to GDP Growth

Filed under: Economic Growth
Published on: July 31, 2014

Government spending contributed 0.3 percentage points to the second quarter real gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Federal consumption and investment contributed negative 0.1 percentage points from the annualized growth rate, while state and local consumption and investment contributed 0.4 percentage points to the rate, representing the largest percentage point growth attributed to the state and local government spending since the second quarter of 2009.

Contributions from Federal, State, and Local Government to GDP Growth, percentage points, quarterly, seasonally adjusted annualized rate

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Contributions to Real GDP Growth

Filed under: Economic Growth
Published on: July 31, 2014

Real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at an annualized rate of 4.0 percent in the second quarter of 2014, according to the advance GDP report, but the contraction in first quarter GDP, previously estimated at 2.9 percent, was revised down to a less severe 2.1 percent. This turnaround marks the largest improvement between two consecutive quarters since the change from the first to second quarter of 2000. The strong growth was attributed to improvements in all GDP components, with especially large contributions from consumer spending and private inventory investment. The annual revision of the national income and product accounts led to decreased estimates of GDP growth for 2011 and 2012 by 0.2 and 0.5 percentage point, respectively, and increased the estimate for 2013 by 0.3 percentage point.

Contributions to Real GDP Growth, quarterly, percent, seasonally adjusted annualized rate

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Consumer Confidence Indices Measuring Expectations

Filed under: Gauges of Sentiment
Published on: July 31, 2014

The Conference Board's measure of expectations rose significantly to a three-year high of 92.7 in July from June's revised reading of 86.4. The University of Michigan's index edged back slightly in July to 71.1 from a revised June reading of 73.5.

Consumer Confidence Indices Measuring Expectations

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Consumer Confidence Indices Measuring Current Situation

Filed under: Gauges of Sentiment
Published on: July 31, 2014

The Conference Board's survey on current conditions rose from a revised reading in June of 86.3 to 88.3 in July, the highest it has been since March 2008. The University of Michigan's survey continued its upward trend rising to 97.1 in July from June's revised reading of 96.6.

Consumer Confidence Indices Measuring Current Situation

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Business Inflation Expectations

Filed under: Inflation
Published on: July 31, 2014

In the Atlanta Fed's most recent business inflation expectations survey, respondents indicated that, on average, they expect unit costs to rise 1.9 percent during the next 12 months, down slightly from June's reading of 2.0 percent. For nearly three years, respondent firms' year-ahead inflation expectations have not changed considerably, hovering just under 2.0 percent.

Business Inflation Expectations, year-ahead unit cost expectations, percent, monthly

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The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections

Filed under: Federal Reserve
Published on: July 31, 2014

The June Summary of Economic Projections for the unemployment rate through 2016 showed a decrease at the upper and lower bounds of the central tendency from the March projections. The long-run projection decreased at the upper bound of the central tendency, from 5.6 percent in March to 5.5 percent in June, and remained unchanged at 5.2 percent at the lower bound.

The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections, Unemployment Rate

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The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections

Filed under: Federal Reserve
Published on: July 31, 2014

The June Summary of Economic Projections for 2014 personal consumption expenditure inflation remained unchanged at the lower bound of the central tendency and increased at the upper bound from 1.6 in March to 1.7 in the June projection. The long-term central tendency projection remained unchanged from the March projection of 2.0 percent in June.

The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections, PCE Inflation

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The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections

Filed under: Federal Reserve
Published on: July 31, 2014

The June Summary of Economic Projections for 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) growth showed a decrease at the lower and upper bounds of the central tendency from the March projection. The long-term central tendency projection decreased at the lower bound from 2.2 percent in March to 2.1 percent in June, and the upper bound remained the same as the March projection, at 2.3 percent.

The View from the Fed: Summary of Economic Projections, Change in real GDP

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U.S. House Prices

Filed under: Real Estate
Published on: July 31, 2014

Home prices continued to rise on a year-over-year basis in May, but the growth rate has decelerated during the past few months.

U.S. House Prices, monthly index, year-over-year, percent change

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Core Capital Goods (year-over-year percent change, seasonally adjusted)

Filed under: Manufacturing
Published on: July 29, 2014

New orders for core capital goods (nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft) rose 1.4 percent in June compared with May. Shipments of core capital goods decreased 1.0 percent during the same period. In addition to the June decrease, May's 0.4 percent rise in shipments was revised down to a 0.1 percent decrease. However, shipments grew faster in the second quarter than the first quarter, suggesting a moderate rebound in equipment spending during the second quarter. Year-over-year, shipments are 3.1 percent higher, and new orders are 1.9 percent above year-ago levels.

Core Capital Goods (year-over-year percent change, seasonally adjusted)

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Sales and Months' Supply of New Single-Family Homes

Filed under: Real Estate
Published on: July 28, 2014

New single-family home sales fell 8.1 percent month over month, from a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 442,000 in May to 406,000 in June. The months' supply of available new single-family homes increased to 5.8 months in June from 5.2 months in May.

Sales and Months' Supply of New Single-Family Homes

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Sales and Months' Supply of Existing Single-Family Homes

Filed under: Real Estate
Published on: July 28, 2014

Existing single-family home sales increased 2.5 percent month over month, from a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.320 million in May to 4.430 million in June. The months' supply of available existing homes for sale remained flat from May to June at 5.6 months.

Sales and Months' Supply of Existing Single-Family Homes

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U.S. Single-Family Home Sales

Filed under: Real Estate
Published on: July 28, 2014

Single-family home sales reports were somewhat disappointing in June. New single-family home sales declined 11.55 percent from the year-ago level, and existing single-family home sales were down 2.85 percent.

U.S. Single-Family Home Sales, year-over-year percent change, monthly

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Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

Filed under: Gauges of Sentiment
Published on: July 28, 2014

The economic policy uncertainty index decreased 11 points from 90 in May to 79 in June. The index has fallen to its lowest postrecession point.

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

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Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims

Filed under: Employment
Published on: July 28, 2014

In the week ending July 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 284,000 from 303,000 the week prior. The four-week moving average, a less volatile gauge of underlying labor market conditions, was down to 302,000, the lowest number seen since the four-week period ending May 19, 2007. Claims have been fairly low for the past nine weeks, averaging just under 308,000, significantly less than the 346,000 figure seen in the nine week period ending July 20 of last year.

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims, four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, thousands

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