Inflation Project

Central banks

• Bernanke says low and falling inflation leaves scope for monetary policy action
  November 4, 2010
• FOMC will expand holdings of securities to support economic recovery and promote price stability
  November 4, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's Lockhart open to more explicit inflation target
  October 18, 2010
• FOMC expects inflation to remain below levels consistent with its mandate for some time
  September 22, 2010
• Bank of England points to VAT and other temporary sources as cause of recent price pressures
  August 17, 2010
• Bank of England sees U.K. inflation risks as challenge for monetary policy
  August 11, 2010
• FOMC expects subdued inflation to continue
  August 11, 2010
• ECB expects low domestic price pressures to keep price developments moderate over medium term
  August 9, 2010
• ECB expects inflation to remain moderate
  July 8, 2010
• European Central Bank sees "moderate" euro-area inflation over "policy-relevant horizon"
  May 13, 2010
• FOMC still expects inflation to be "subdued for some time"
  April 29, 2010
• U.K. Office for National Statistics reports 3.4 percent year-over-year CPI increase in March
  April 21, 2010
• Eurostat now reports a 1.4 percent rise in euro area consumer prices in March
  April 16, 2010
• Plosser argues for inflation target–based policy rule
  March 23, 2010
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee sees inflation moderating after short-term increase
  March 17, 2010
• Bank of Canada softens statement on potential downward price pressures
  March 2, 2010
• Riksbank says underlying inflation trends are moderating
  February 11, 2010
• Bank of England sees excess capacity to push inflation below target
  February 10, 2010

Commodity prices

• Manufacturers input prices decline again
  December 1, 2011
• Manufacturers paid significantly less for inputs in October
  November 1, 2011
• Core finished PPI unchanged in August
  September 14, 2011
• Core finished PPI accelerated in July
  August 17, 2011
• Price pressures decelerate for nonmanufacturing industries
  August 3, 2011
• Climb of manufacturers' prices continues to slow
  August 1, 2011
• Headline finished PPI declined, core pushed higher
  July 14, 2011
• Price inputs paid by nonmanufacturers rise at a slower pace in June
  July 6, 2011
• Manufacturers input prices continue to moderate
  July 1, 2011
• Headline and intermediate PPI decelerated in May, while crude declined
  June 14, 2011
• Beige Book reports modest wage growth
  June 9, 2011
• Nonmanufacturing firms paid slightly lower prices
  June 3, 2011
• U.S. manufacturers say price increases slowed
  June 1, 2011
• PPI continued to rise at all stages of production in April
  May 12, 2011
• PPI continues to rise at all stages of production, boosted by rising food and energy costs
  April 14, 2011
• Beige Book reports minimal wage pressures for most districts but rising input cost pressures
  April 13, 2011
• PPI continues to rise at all stages of production, boosted by rising food and energy costs
  March 17, 2011
• Nonwage input costs increased for manufacturers, retailers in most districts
  March 2, 2011
• Increased energy prices push January producer price index up
  February 16, 2011
• Higher energy and food prices boost December producer price index, core PPI remains subdued
  January 14, 2011
• Fed's Beige Book: Input cost pressures increased while wage pressures remained subdued
  January 12, 2011
• Nonmanufacturing firms faced higher input costs in December
  January 5, 2011
• Prices paid by manufacturers increases again in December
  January 3, 2011
• Producer prices increase across the board in November
  December 14, 2010
• Wage pressures and prices remain stable from October to mid-November, according to the Fed's Beige Book report
  December 2, 2010
• Prices paid by manufacturers continue to rise in November
  December 2, 2010
• Higher gasoline prices cause modest PPI increase in October; core PPI declines
  November 16, 2010
• U.S. import and export prices advanced in October
  November 10, 2010
• Nonmanufacturing price growth accelerated in October
  November 4, 2010
• Producer prices increase modestly in September
  October 14, 2010
• Manufacturers' prices rose notably in September
  October 6, 2010
• Growth of prices paid by nonmanufacturers slowed in September
  October 6, 2010
• Rising energy costs spurred an uptick in the producer price index in August
  September 16, 2010
• Fed's Beige Book report sees price and wage pressures as limited
  September 9, 2010
• Industrial purchasing managers report slightly elevated price pressures in August
  September 1, 2010
• Nonfuel import prices declined in July for the second consecutive month
  August 12, 2010
• ISM nonmanufacturing prices index showed slight uptick in July
  August 4, 2010
• ISM Manufacturing Prices Index rises half a percentage point in July
  August 2, 2010
• Price pressures remained largely stable through mid-July, Beige Book says
  July 29, 2010
• Producer prices remained soft in June
  July 15, 2010
• Nonfuel import prices post first decline in a year
  July 14, 2010
• Few nonmanufacturing purchasing managers report price pressures in June
  July 6, 2010
• ISM Prices Index drops sharply in June
  July 1, 2010
• Lower prices for energy goods prompted decline in producer prices in May
  June 16, 2010
• Nonfuel import prices continued to rise at an accelerated pace in May; export prices also rose significantly
  June 15, 2010
• Percentage of purchasing managers reporting rising prices remained high in May
  June 1, 2010
• Producer price increases strengthened a bit in April
  May 18, 2010
• Import and exports price increases show a modest acceleration in the first quarter as industrial commodity markets heat up
  May 13, 2010
• Purchasing managers continue to see climbing prices in April
  May 4, 2010
• Producer prices up on food costs (0.7 percent) while core PPI only marginally higher (0.1 percent)
  April 26, 2010
• March survey of industrial purchasing managers shows greater price pressures
  April 1, 2010
• ISM nonmanufacturing index indicates slight moderation in price pressure for February
  March 3, 2010
• Hamilton reads recent data tilting toward deflation
  February 8, 2010

Consumer prices

• Sticky price consumer price index decelerates slightly
  December 16, 2011
• Headline CPI posted energy-related decline
  November 16, 2011
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011
• Headline, core price rises decelerate
  October 19, 2011
• Atlanta Fed sticky price CPI rises
  October 19, 2011
• August trimmed mean PCE price index increased
  September 30, 2011
• August headline and core inflation up
  September 30, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI rises
  September 15, 2011
• CPI posts broad-based increase
  September 15, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index increases
  August 29, 2011
• PCE headline and core inflation rise
  August 29, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI accelerated to 2.1 percent
  August 18, 2011
• Higher gasoline prices support rise in CPI
  August 18, 2011
• Headline inflation declined, core decelerated
  August 2, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI—headline and core—decelerated
  July 15, 2011
• Median and trimmed-mean CPI slowed
  July 15, 2011
• Energy CPI declined sharply, core posted broad-based increase
  July 15, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index increased in May
  June 27, 2011
• Core PCE inflation continued to firm in May
  June 27, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI rose 1.7 percent in May
  June 15, 2011
• Median and trimmed-mean CPI decelerated in May
  June 15, 2011
• Core CPI rose 3.5 percent in May, largest gain since May 2006
  June 15, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index increased by 2.4 percent
  May 27, 2011
• Core PCE inflation accelerated to 2.2 percent
  May 27, 2011
• Sticky price CPI rises an annualized 1.9 percent in April
  May 13, 2011
• Consumer prices continue their ascent in April as gasoline prices push higher
  May 13, 2011
• Cleveland Fed's median and trimmed mean CPI measures elevated again in April
  May 13, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index continued to rise in February
  April 29, 2011
• Core PCE inflation decelerated slightly in March
  April 29, 2011
• Continued rise in gas and food prices push headline CPI up
  April 15, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI up 1.5 percent in March
  April 15, 2011
• Median inflation rate expectations remain stable
  April 15, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index continued to rise in February
  March 28, 2011
• Core PCE inflation continued to rise in February
  March 28, 2011
• Median and trimmed-mean CPI continued to rise in February
  March 21, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky-price CPI rose 2 percent in February
  March 17, 2011
• Consumer price index posted broad-based gain in February
  March 17, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index decelerated in January
  March 1, 2011
• Despite a headline jump, core PCE inflation remains muted
  March 1, 2011
• Gasoline, food prices push headline, core CPI up in January
  February 17, 2011
• Median CPI, trimmed-mean CPI both rise in January
  February 17, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI rose 2 percent in January
  February 17, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index decelerated slightly in December
  January 31, 2011
• 12-month core PCE price index rose 0.7 percent in December, a record low for the series
  January 31, 2011
• Rising gasoline prices push headline CPI up 6.2 percent in December, core up 1.1 percent
  January 14, 2011
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI rose 1.2 percent in December
  January 14, 2011
• Trimmed mean PCE price index rose in November
  January 4, 2011
• Core PCE price index inched up in November
  January 4, 2011
• Though most CPI indexes rose slightly in November, core measure remains near historical low
  December 15, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI accelerates in November
  December 15, 2010
• Median CPI rises 1 percent (annualized) in November, nearly the same as in October
  December 15, 2010
• Trimmed mean PCE price index up 0.1 percent (annual rate) in October, smallest increase in series' history
  November 29, 2010
• Core PCE price index unchanged in October
  November 29, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI remains nearly unchanged in October
  November 17, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's trimmed-mean inflation estimates continue to show virtually no price pressure
  November 17, 2010
• Gasoline prices push the headline CPI up in October, but core measure remains unchanged
  November 17, 2010
• Trimmed mean PCE price index up 1 percent (annual rate) in September
  November 1, 2010
• Personal consumption expenditures price index maintained low growth trend in September
  November 1, 2010
• Consumer price index rises modestly on higher food costs in September while core measure remains unchanged
  October 15, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's median and trimmed-mean CPI measures show continued subdued retail price pressure in September
  October 15, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI rises only 0.8 percent (annualized) in September
  October 15, 2010
• Atlanta Fed economist reads TIPS data and sees the probability of deflation through 2015 may be 26 percent
  October 7, 2010
• Trimmed mean PCE price index up 1.5 percent (annualized) in August
  October 5, 2010
• Personal consumption expenditures price index maintains low growth trend
  October 5, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's "sticky-price" CPI nearly unchanged in August
  September 17, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's inflation measures show continued subdued inflation in August
  September 17, 2010
• Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth very near zero in August
  September 17, 2010
• Trimmed-mean PCE price index up 0.9 percent (annualized) in July
  August 30, 2010
• Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose in July
  August 30, 2010
• Long-term household inflation expectations tick lower in August
  August 13, 2010
• Forecasters mark down their core inflation forecasts for 2010 and 2011
  August 13, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky-price CPI up 0.8 percent in July, continuing its low-inflation trend
  August 13, 2010
• Median and trimmed-mean CPIs continue to suggest only modest upward price pressure in July
  August 13, 2010
• Consumer price index jumps in July, but core measure moderates to 1.6 percent rise
  August 13, 2010
• Consumer spending deflator declined in June on both a headline and core basis
  August 3, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky-price CPI rises modestly again in June
  July 16, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's median CPI moves higher in June while trimmed-mean CPI holds steady at low rate
  July 16, 2010
• Consumer prices dip again in June, but core measure accelerates a bit
  July 16, 2010
• Trimmed-mean PCE price index up 1.1 percent (annualized) in May
  June 28, 2010
• Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index declines in May while core measure moves higher
  June 28, 2010
• The median CPI remained unchanged for fifth consecutive month in May
  June 17, 2010
• Headline consumer price index fell in May; core CPI rose
  June 17, 2010
• Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta sticky price CPI data show continuing disinflation
  June 17, 2010
• PCE price index edged up 0.2 percent (annual rate) in April, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis
  May 28, 2010
• Dallas Fed's trimmed mean PCE inflation rose 0.7 percent (annual rate) in April
  May 28, 2010
• The median CPI remains unchanged in April for fourth consecutive month
  May 19, 2010
• Consumer prices flat in April
  May 19, 2010
• 
  May 19, 2010
• Dallas Fed's trimmed mean PCE inflation essentially zero (annualized) in March
  May 3, 2010
• BEA reports modest 1.1 percent (annualized) rise in March PCE inflation
  May 3, 2010
• Wall Street Journal survey splits on inflation risks
  April 16, 2010
• CPI rose a modest 0.8 percent (annualized) in March; core prices equally subdued
  April 14, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's median CPI unchanged in March for third consecutive month
  April 14, 2010
• Is the recent disinflation broadly based?
  April 7, 2010
• Dallas Fed's trimmed mean PCE measure flat in February
  March 29, 2010
• PCE inflation essentially zero in February
  March 29, 2010
• Cleveland Fed's median CPI shows decline in February
  March 18, 2010
• Consumer price index flat in February as core CPI remains subdued
  March 18, 2010
• BEA reports core retail inflation was flat in January
  March 1, 2010
• Dallas Fed trimmed-mean PCE inflation measure nearly unchanged in January
  March 1, 2010
• The Atlanta Fed takes a closer look at the core CPI
  February 22, 2010
• Core consumer prices fell in January
  February 19, 2010
• Trimmed-mean CPI measures post slow price growth in January
  February 19, 2010
• Paul Krugman says inflation may be headed in the wrong direction
  February 19, 2010

Deflation

• Longer-term deflation probabilities change little
  January 6, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change
  December 29, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities declined slightly
  December 22, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  December 15, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 9, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  November 17, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities edge up
  November 10, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain unchanged
  November 3, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities notch down
  October 27, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch up
  October 20, 2011
• Deflation probability remains stable
  October 13, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities unchanged
  October 6, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities unchanged
  September 29, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities level off
  September 22, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline slightly
  September 15, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities mostly unchanged
  September 8, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities unchanged
  September 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities trend upward
  August 25, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up
  August 18, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities rise slightly
  August 12, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  August 4, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick down
  July 28, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  July 22, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  July 14, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities unchanged, still low
  July 7, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  June 30, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up, still low
  June 23, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down
  June 16, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities unchanged
  June 9, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities still low
  June 2, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up but remain low
  May 26, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain stable
  May 19, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  May 12, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change
  May 5, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities down to 8 percent
  April 28, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probability rises
  April 21, 2011
• Deflation probabilities in longer term stay low
  April 14, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities lessen
  April 8, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up but remain low
  April 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities move up slightly
  March 24, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up
  March 17, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  March 10, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities reverse past week's increase
  March 3, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up slightly
  February 24, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain small
  February 17, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probability remains low
  February 10, 2011
• Longer-term deflation likelihood down to 9 percent in latest week
  February 3, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities trending down in 2011
  January 27, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline slightly in latest week
  January 20, 2011
• Longer-term deflation likelihood falls slightly
  January 14, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change in latest week
  January 6, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed in latest week
  December 30, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down in latest week
  December 24, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed in latest week
  December 16, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probability falls slightly in latest week
  December 9, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probability rises slightly in latest week
  December 2, 2010
• Deflation likelihood rises slightly
  November 24, 2010
• Deflation likelihood continues decline
  November 18, 2010
• Deflation likelihood continued to move lower in latest week
  November 12, 2010
• Probability of deflation lowest since early May
  November 4, 2010
• Probability of deflation continues to edge lower in latest week
  October 28, 2010
• Probability of deflation edges slightly lower over the past week
  October 21, 2010
• Probability of deflation edges slightly lower in mid-October
  October 14, 2010
• Atlanta Fed economist reads TIPS data and sees the probability of deflation through 2015 may be 26 percent
  October 7, 2010
• Hamilton remains divided on the risk of inflation vs. deflation
  June 21, 2010
• AEI's Reinhart looks at the IMF World Economic Outlook and sees deflation as continuing major risk to global economy
  April 27, 2010

dp intro

• Deflation Probability Measure Continued Pattern
  October 18, 2012
  October 18, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Inched Up
  October 11, 2012
  October 11, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Fell Slightly
  October 4, 2012
  October 4, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Ticked Up
  September 27, 2012
  September 27, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Inched Down
  September 20, 2012
  September 20, 2012
• 2012–17 Deflation Probability Declined Slightly
  September 13, 2012
  September 6, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Virtually Unchanged
  September 6, 2012
  September 6, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Held Steady
  August 30, 2012
  August 30, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Ticked Down
  August 23, 2012
  August 23, 2012
• Deflation Probability Measure Unchanged
  August 16, 2012
  August 16, 2012
• Longer-Term Deflation Probability Measure Notched Down
  August 9, 2012
  August 9, 2012
• Longer-Term Deflation Probabilities Held Steady
  August 2, 2012
  August 2, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities don’t change
  July 26, 2012
  July 26, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  July 19, 2012
  July 19, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remained stable
  July 12, 2012
  July 12, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probability measure notched up
  July 5, 2012
  July 5, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities ticked up
  June 28, 2012
  June 28, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities changed little
  June 21, 2012
  June 21, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain stable
  June 14, 2012
  June 7, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch up
  June 7, 2012
  June 7, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probability rises
  May 31, 2012
  May 31, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch higher
  May 24, 2012
  May 24, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities about the same
  May 17, 2012
  May 17, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch lower
  May 10, 2012
  May 10, 2012
• Inflation Project incorporates new data for constructing longer-term deflation probabilities
  May 3, 2012
  May 3, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities barely budged
  April 26, 2012
  April 26, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities virtually the same
  April 19, 2012
  April 19, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inched up
  April 12, 2012
  April 12, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities stay about the same
  April 5, 2012
  April 5, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities virtually unchanged
  March 29, 2012
  March 29, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities don't move
  March 22, 2012
  March 22, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick down
  March 15, 2012
  March 15, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities stay the same
  March 8, 2012
  March 8, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down again
  March 1, 2012
  March 1, 2012
• Slight change in the longer-term deflation probability
  February 23, 2012
  February 23, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain unchanged
  February 16, 2012
  February 16, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probability at the same level
  February 9, 2012
  February 9, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down
  February 2, 2012
  February 2, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities ticked down
  January 26, 2012
  January 26, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities did not move
  January 19, 2012
  January 19, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up
  January 12, 2012
  January 12, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities change little
  January 6, 2012
  January 6, 2012

Expectations

• ISM Prices Index rises half a percentage point
  October 3, 2011
• August household inflation expectations tick up
  September 30, 2011
• Household inflation expectations fell in July
  August 1, 2011
• Near- and longer-term household inflation expectations declined
  July 15, 2011
• Inflation expectations declined in June, according to the Conference Board
  June 28, 2011
• Conference Board Survey: May inflation expectations increased
  May 31, 2011
• Both year-ahead and longer-term consumer inflation expectations revised downward
  May 27, 2011
• Long-term inflation expectations retraced month-earlier gains in April
  April 29, 2011
• Inflation expectations moderated in April
  April 28, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities down to 8 percent
  April 28, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probability rises
  April 21, 2011
• Deflation probabilities in longer term stay low
  April 14, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities lessen
  April 8, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up but remain low
  April 1, 2011
• Both year-ahead and longer-term consumer inflation expectations jumped in March, according to the University of Michigan
  March 28, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities move up slightly
  March 24, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up
  March 17, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain low
  March 10, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities reverse past week's increase
  March 3, 2011
• University of Michigan survey data show unchanged consumer inflation expectations for February
  February 25, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities tick up slightly
  February 24, 2011
• Conference Board's inflation expectations continue to rise in February
  February 22, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities remain small
  February 17, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probability remains low
  February 10, 2011
• Longer-term deflation likelihood down to 9 percent in latest week
  February 3, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities trending down in 2011
  January 27, 2011
• Year-ahead inflation expectations continue to rise, according to the Conference Board
  January 25, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline slightly in latest week
  January 20, 2011
• Longer-term deflation likelihood falls slightly
  January 14, 2011
• University of Michigan January survey data show a jump in near-term consumer inflation expectations
  January 14, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change in latest week
  January 6, 2011
• Year-ahead consumer inflation expectations increased in December
  January 4, 2011
• Household inflation expectations unchanged in December
  January 4, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed in latest week
  December 30, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down in latest week
  December 24, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed in latest week
  December 16, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probability falls slightly in latest week
  December 9, 2010
• Longer-term deflation probability rises slightly in latest week
  December 2, 2010
• Household year-ahead inflation expectations increased in November
  November 29, 2010
• Deflation likelihood rises slightly
  November 24, 2010
• Deflation likelihood continues decline
  November 18, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's sticky price CPI remains nearly unchanged in October
  November 17, 2010
• Deflation likelihood continued to move lower in latest week
  November 12, 2010
• Probability of deflation lowest since early May
  November 4, 2010
• Household inflation expectations were unrevised in final October survey release from the University of Michigan
  October 29, 2010
• Probability of deflation continues to edge lower in latest week
  October 28, 2010
• Conference Board Survey of inflation expectations unchanged in October
  October 26, 2010
• Probability of deflation edges slightly lower over the past week
  October 21, 2010
• Probability of deflation edges slightly lower in mid-October
  October 14, 2010
• FOMC participants weighed options to affect inflation expectations at the September meeting
  October 12, 2010
• Atlanta Fed economist reads TIPS data and sees the probability of deflation through 2015 may be 26 percent
  October 7, 2010
• Long-term consumer inflation expectations revised slightly lower in September
  October 5, 2010
• Conference Board survey of inflation expectations dips a little lower in September
  September 28, 2010
• University of Michigan near-term consumer inflation expectations lower in August
  September 17, 2010
• Consumer inflation expectations were unchanged in August, according to Conference Board survey
  August 31, 2010
• Household inflation expectations change little in August
  August 27, 2010
• Household inflation expectations were revised down in the final survey release for July, according to the University of Michigan
  July 30, 2010
• Survey shows consumer inflation expectations declined in July for the second consecutive month
  July 27, 2010
• Household inflation expectations edged up in July, according to preliminary survey
  July 16, 2010
• BOE's Posen thinks higher inflation expectations are behind recent U.K. inflation numbers
  June 30, 2010
• Consumer inflation expectations ticked down in June, according to Conference Board survey
  June 29, 2010
• Household inflation expectations moderated in June, according to final survey
  June 25, 2010
• Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta sticky price CPI data show continuing disinflation
  June 17, 2010
• Household inflation expectations receded in June, according to preliminary survey
  June 11, 2010
• Consumer inflation expectations were steady in May, according to the Conference Board
  May 25, 2010
• 
  May 19, 2010
• Household inflation expectations nearly unchanged in May
  May 14, 2010
• Gallup poll suggests concern over inflation elevated
  May 3, 2010
• Bernanke: Inflation "subdued" and recent moderation "broadly based"
  April 15, 2010
• Household inflation expectations nearly steady in March, according to Reuters/University of Michigan
  March 12, 2010

FOMC

• Beige Book reports minimal wage pressures for most districts but rising input cost pressures
  April 13, 2011
• Nonwage input costs increased for manufacturers, retailers in most districts
  March 2, 2011
• Fed's Beige Book: Input cost pressures increased while wage pressures remained subdued
  January 12, 2011
• Bernanke says low and falling inflation leaves scope for monetary policy action
  November 4, 2010
• FOMC will expand holdings of securities to support economic recovery and promote price stability
  November 4, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's Lockhart open to more explicit inflation target
  October 18, 2010
• FOMC participants weighed options to affect inflation expectations at the September meeting
  October 12, 2010
• FOMC expects inflation to remain below levels consistent with its mandate for some time
  September 22, 2010
• Fed's Beige Book report sees price and wage pressures as limited
  September 9, 2010
• FOMC sees subdued underlying inflation and risk of deflation as quite small, according to August minutes
  August 31, 2010
• FOMC expects subdued inflation to continue
  August 11, 2010
• FOMC modestly lowers inflation outlook, sees inflation subdued through 2012 with balanced but heightened risks
  July 14, 2010
• Atlanta Fed's Lockhart sees U.S. inflation as "low and reasonably stable"
  June 30, 2010
• FOMC continues to think inflation "likely to be subdued for some time"
  June 23, 2010
• FOMC's late-April take on inflation: The outlook is "subdued" with risks "mixed"
  May 19, 2010
• FOMC still expects inflation to be "subdued for some time"
  April 29, 2010
• Bernanke responds to questions from Congress about exit and the long-term inflation objective
  April 15, 2010
• Bernanke: Inflation "subdued" and recent moderation "broadly based"
  April 15, 2010
• March FOMC minutes indicate downside inflation surprise and anticipation of continued subdued inflation
  April 6, 2010
• Plosser argues for inflation target–based policy rule
  March 23, 2010
• The FOMC says inflation "likely to be subdued for some time"
  March 16, 2010
• The FOMC reflects on the nature of current unemployment
  March 9, 2010
• Chairman Bernanke describes the FOMC's inflation outlook as "subdued"
  February 24, 2010

Forecasts

• Blue Chip inflation forecasts largely unchanged in November
  November 10, 2010
• Stock and Watson say high unemployment could push core PCE inflation down 0.6 to 0.8 percent over next four quarters
  September 2, 2010
• FOMC sees subdued underlying inflation and risk of deflation as quite small, according to August minutes
  August 31, 2010
• Long-term household inflation expectations tick lower in August
  August 13, 2010
• Forecasters mark down their core inflation forecasts for 2010 and 2011
  August 13, 2010
• IMF expects inflation pressures to remain subdued in advanced economies but edge up in emerging and developing economies
  July 8, 2010
• Hamilton remains divided on the risk of inflation vs. deflation
  June 21, 2010
• FOMC's late-April take on inflation: The outlook is "subdued" with risks "mixed"
  May 19, 2010
• Economists see marginally lower near-term inflation prospects: Longer-term inflation forecasts remain unchanged
  May 14, 2010
• IMF releases semiannual World Economic Outlook, expects inflation to be "in check in most economies"
  April 27, 2010
• AEI's Reinhart looks at the IMF World Economic Outlook and sees deflation as continuing major risk to global economy
  April 27, 2010
• Wall Street Journal survey splits on inflation risks
  April 16, 2010
• March FOMC minutes indicate downside inflation surprise and anticipation of continued subdued inflation
  April 6, 2010
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee sees inflation moderating after short-term increase
  March 17, 2010
• Household inflation expectations nearly steady in March, according to Reuters/University of Michigan
  March 12, 2010
• Do unit labor costs predict consumer inflation?
  March 4, 2010
• Bank of Canada softens statement on potential downward price pressures
  March 2, 2010
• Chairman Bernanke describes the FOMC's inflation outlook as "subdued"
  February 24, 2010
• Riksbank says underlying inflation trends are moderating
  February 11, 2010
• Bank of England sees excess capacity to push inflation below target
  February 10, 2010
• Hamilton reads recent data tilting toward deflation
  February 8, 2010

Home prices

• Non-seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller home prices post first increase in 9 months in April
  June 28, 2011
• S&P/Case-Shiller home price index continued to decline in March
  May 31, 2011
• The median sales price of new single-family homes ticked up
  May 24, 2011
• The median sales price for existing homes increased in April
  May 23, 2011
• The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index continued to decline in February
  April 28, 2011
• Home price indices continued to decline in January
  March 29, 2011
• CoreLogic Home Price Index declined again in December
  February 8, 2011
• FHFA purchase-only home price index was unchanged in November
  January 26, 2011
• S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index softened again in November
  January 26, 2011
• CoreLogic November Home Price Index declined again
  January 13, 2011
• CoreLogic index shows U.S. home prices declined in October for third consecutive month
  December 16, 2010
• FHFA home price index falls in the third quarter
  December 1, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show broad-based declines during third quarter
  December 1, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller home price indices indicated home price increases slowed in August
  October 26, 2010
• FHFA U.S. monthly house price index increases 0.4 percent from July to August
  October 26, 2010
• CoreLogic U.S. home price index declined in August for the first time this year
  October 25, 2010
• Case-Shiller home price index nearly unchanged in July
  September 28, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show modest improvement in home prices during 2Q10
  August 31, 2010
• FHFA monthly house price index declined slightly in June
  August 25, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller Home Composite-20 Price Index increased in May
  July 27, 2010
• CoreLogic^® Home Price Index shows further increase in home prices in May
  July 15, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite home price index increased in April
  June 29, 2010
• Census reports further slip in prices of new homes sold in May
  June 23, 2010
• FHFA home price index rises 0.8 percent from March to April
  June 22, 2010
• Median existing home sales price posts increase in May
  June 22, 2010
• Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reports a modest increase in home prices in March
  May 25, 2010
• Case-Shiller data show national home prices inching down in March
  May 25, 2010
• Case-Shiller data for February show home prices slipping slightly but still up year over year
  April 27, 2010
• Case-Shiller home price index up slightly in January
  March 30, 2010
• Two measures show continued housing price declines
  March 23, 2010
• FHFA reports a decline in U.S. home prices for December
  February 25, 2010
• Median sale price for new homes drops to lowest level since December 2003
  February 24, 2010
• S&P/Case-Shiller home price index rose a modest 0.3 percent in December
  February 23, 2010

Homepage Highlight

• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change
  December 29, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  December 15, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 9, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  November 17, 2011
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011

International

• U.K. consumer prices up 3.1 percent in July from a year earlier, a slight slowing from June
  August 17, 2010
• Bank of England points to VAT and other temporary sources as cause of recent price pressures
  August 17, 2010
• ECB expects low domestic price pressures to keep price developments moderate over medium term
  August 9, 2010
• ECB expects inflation to remain moderate
  July 8, 2010
• IMF expects inflation pressures to remain subdued in advanced economies but edge up in emerging and developing economies
  July 8, 2010
• Consumer price inflation in the euro area inched lower in June to 1.4 percent
  June 30, 2010
• BOE's Posen thinks higher inflation expectations are behind recent U.K. inflation numbers
  June 30, 2010
• Euro area inflation posted a 1.5 percent year-over-year increase in April, unrevised from the earlier reported "flash" estimate
  May 18, 2010
• Import and exports price increases show a modest acceleration in the first quarter as industrial commodity markets heat up
  May 13, 2010
• European Central Bank sees "moderate" euro-area inflation over "policy-relevant horizon"
  May 13, 2010
• "Flash" estimate shows upward nudge to euro area inflation in April
  April 30, 2010
• IMF releases semiannual World Economic Outlook, expects inflation to be "in check in most economies"
  April 27, 2010
• AEI's Reinhart looks at the IMF World Economic Outlook and sees deflation as continuing major risk to global economy
  April 27, 2010
• U.K. Office for National Statistics reports 3.4 percent year-over-year CPI increase in March
  April 21, 2010
• Eurostat now reports a 1.4 percent rise in euro area consumer prices in March
  April 16, 2010
• "Flash" estimate of March euro-area inflation shows acceleration from February
  April 1, 2010
• Core inflation in Canada ticks higher in February
  March 19, 2010
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee sees inflation moderating after short-term increase
  March 17, 2010
• Import prices and the exchange rate
  March 16, 2010
• Final estimate confirms slowing in euro-area inflation in February
  March 16, 2010
• Softness in import and export prices in February
  March 16, 2010
• "Flash" estimate shows year-to-year inflation slipped under 1 percent in Europe for February
  March 2, 2010
• Bank of Canada softens statement on potential downward price pressures
  March 2, 2010
• Riksbank says underlying inflation trends are moderating
  February 11, 2010
• Bank of England sees excess capacity to push inflation below target
  February 10, 2010
• Central Bank of Turkey sees no significant upside inflation pressure
  February 1, 2010

Labor costs

• Beige Book reports modest wage growth
  June 9, 2011
• Beige Book reports minimal wage pressures for most districts but rising input cost pressures
  April 13, 2011
• Nonwage input costs increased for manufacturers, retailers in most districts
  March 2, 2011
• Fed's Beige Book: Input cost pressures increased while wage pressures remained subdued
  January 12, 2011
• Wage pressures and prices remain stable from October to mid-November, according to the Fed's Beige Book report
  December 2, 2010
• Average hourly earnings of all private nonfarm employees up 5 cents in October
  November 10, 2010
• Labor productivity rose in the third quarter as unit labor costs declined
  November 10, 2010
• Fed's Beige Book report sees price and wage pressures as limited
  September 9, 2010
• Revised productivity and cost measures show 1.1 percent rise in unit labor costs in second quarter
  September 2, 2010
• Unit labor costs rose in the second quarter as labor productivity fell
  August 10, 2010
• Compensation costs rose 0.5 percent in the second quarter
  July 30, 2010
• Price pressures remained largely stable through mid-July, Beige Book says
  July 29, 2010
• Average hourly earnings of all private nonfarm employees decreased 2 cents in June
  July 2, 2010
• Unit labor costs for first quarter revised slightly upward, still show significant decline
  June 3, 2010
• Average hourly earnings up negligibly in April
  May 7, 2010
• Strong productivity growth continues to keep labor cost pressures in check
  May 6, 2010
• Do wage pressures predict inflation? Actually, it seems to be the other way around, say Hu and Toussaint-Comeau of the Chicago Fed
  May 6, 2010
• Employment cost increases remain modest in first quarter 2010
  April 30, 2010
• Fourth quarter productivity revised higher, unit labor costs revised downward
  March 4, 2010
• Unemployment dips, wage growth picks up a little
  February 5, 2010
• Unit labor costs declined in fourth quarter 2009, says BLS
  February 4, 2010

Phillips curve

• Capacity utilization ticks up again
  November 17, 2011
• Capacity utilization rate inches up
  October 18, 2011
• Capacity utilization edges up
  September 15, 2011
• Industrial production and capacity utilization rise
  August 16, 2011
• Capacity utilization rate unchanged
  July 15, 2011
• May overall industrial capacity utilization remains flat, industrial production ticks up
  June 15, 2011
• Industrial capacity in use dips
  May 17, 2011
• Industrial production declines, capacity utilization moves up
  March 17, 2011
• Industrial capacity in use inched higher in August but remains below long-run averages
  September 16, 2010
• Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta sticky price CPI data show continuing disinflation
  June 17, 2010
• 
  May 19, 2010
• Do wage pressures predict inflation? Actually, it seems to be the other way around, say Hu and Toussaint-Comeau of the Chicago Fed
  May 6, 2010
• IMF releases semiannual World Economic Outlook, expects inflation to be "in check in most economies"
  April 27, 2010
• Plosser argues for inflation target–based policy rule
  March 23, 2010
• Industrial capacity in use inched higher in February but remains low
  March 15, 2010
• The FOMC reflects on the nature of current unemployment
  March 9, 2010
• Two recent perspectives on Okun's law
  March 9, 2010
• A real-time look at growth and inflation
  January 25, 2010
• San Francisco Fed economists say "mind the gap"
  January 19, 2010

Producer prices

• Core finished PPI unchanged in August
  September 14, 2011
• Core finished PPI accelerated in July
  August 17, 2011
• Headline finished PPI declined, core pushed higher
  July 14, 2011
• Headline and intermediate PPI decelerated in May, while crude declined
  June 14, 2011
• PPI continued to rise at all stages of production in April
  May 12, 2011
• PPI continues to rise at all stages of production, boosted by rising food and energy costs
  April 14, 2011
• PPI continues to rise at all stages of production, boosted by rising food and energy costs
  March 17, 2011
• Increased energy prices push January producer price index up
  February 16, 2011
• Higher energy and food prices boost December producer price index, core PPI remains subdued
  January 14, 2011
• Producer prices increase across the board in November
  December 14, 2010
• Higher gasoline prices cause modest PPI increase in October; core PPI declines
  November 16, 2010
• Producer prices increase modestly in September
  October 14, 2010
• Rising energy costs spurred an uptick in the producer price index in August
  September 16, 2010
• Core producer prices mixed in July
  August 17, 2010
• Producer prices remained soft in June
  July 15, 2010
• Lower prices for energy goods prompted decline in producer prices in May
  June 16, 2010
• Percentage of purchasing managers reporting rising prices remained high in May
  June 1, 2010
• Producer price increases strengthened a bit in April
  May 18, 2010
• What's the link between the producer price index and the consumer price index?
  March 17, 2010
• Falling energy prices prompted decline in producer price index in February
  March 17, 2010

Research

• Stock and Watson say high unemployment could push core PCE inflation down 0.6 to 0.8 percent over next four quarters
  September 2, 2010
• How accurate is the CPI? Perhaps less than we previously thought, argue Broda and Weinstein
  July 8, 2010
• John Cochrane lays out one potential inflation scenario of the current fiscal situation--and it doesn't require a sharp rebound in the economy
  July 1, 2010
• Why do people dislike inflation?
  June 15, 2010
• 
  May 19, 2010
• Do wage pressures predict inflation? Actually, it seems to be the other way around, say Hu and Toussaint-Comeau of the Chicago Fed
  May 6, 2010
• Is the recent disinflation broadly based?
  April 7, 2010
• What's the link between the producer price index and the consumer price index?
  March 17, 2010
• Import prices and the exchange rate
  March 16, 2010
• Two recent perspectives on Okun's law
  March 9, 2010
• Do unit labor costs predict consumer inflation?
  March 4, 2010
• A real-time look at growth and inflation
  January 25, 2010
• San Francisco Fed economists say "mind the gap"
  January 19, 2010

Research & the Economy

• Longer-term deflation probabilities change little
  January 6, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change
  December 29, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities declined slightly
  December 22, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  December 15, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 9, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  November 17, 2011
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011

Research Info

• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  November 17, 2011
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011

Secondary Highlight

• Longer-term deflation probabilities change little
  January 6, 2012
• Longer-term deflation probabilities show little change
  December 29, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed
  December 15, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 9, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  December 1, 2011
• Longer-term deflation probabilities decline
  November 17, 2011
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011

sticky price intro

• Sticky Price CPI Rose in September
  October 16, 2012
  October 16, 2012
• Sticky CPI Decelerated in August
  September 14, 2012
  September 14, 2012
• Sticky CPI Decelerated
  August 15, 2012
  August 15, 2012
• June sticky CPI inched up
  July 17, 2012
  July 17, 2012
• May sticky CPI up
  June 14, 2012
  June 14, 2012
• Sticky CPI rose in April
  May 15, 2012
  May 15, 2012
• Sticky CPI rose in March
  April 13, 2012
  April 13, 2012
• February's sticky price CPI rose 1.5 percent
  March 16, 2012
  February 17, 2012
• Sticky price CPI rose 3 percent in January
  February 17, 2012
  February 17, 2012
• Sticky price CPI rose 2.7 percent
  January 19, 2012
  January 19, 2012
• Atlanta Fed’s sticky price CPI increased
  November 16, 2011
  November 16, 2011

Unemployment

• The FOMC reflects on the nature of current unemployment
  March 9, 2010
• Two recent perspectives on Okun's law
  March 9, 2010
• Unemployment dips, wage growth picks up a little
  February 5, 2010
• San Francisco Fed economists say "mind the gap"
  January 19, 2010

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