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Research & the Economy


Updates & Other News

12/28/12
Nominal GDP Targeting: Still a Skeptic

12/21/12
Try, Try Again

12/20/12
Southeast Housing Update: Nov. Home Sales Rise, Modest 2013 Gains Foreseen

12/20/12
Deflation Probability Measures Drop Again

12/19/12
Business Inflation Expectations Decline in December

12/17/12
Plain English

12/14/12
Sticky CPI Inflation Dropped to 2.1 Percent

12/13/12
Deflation Probability Measure about the Same

12/12/12
Data Digest Reports Southeast Economy Continues to Improve

12/12/12
Energy Renaissance

12/12/12
Anticipating Growth despite a Slowdown? Results from the Recent Small Business Survey

12/10/12
Small Businesses Lower Expectations for Improvement

12/7/12
Jobs Calculator Updated with November Data, Revisions

12/6/12
Deflation Probability Measures Inch Down

12/5/12
The Evolution of Vacant Property Registration Ordinances across the United States

12/5/12
Real Estate Recovery along the Panhandle

12/3/12
Happier Holidays? (Part Two)

11/29/12
Deflation Probability Measures Move in Different Directions

11/29/12
Gazelles, and Why They Matter

11/28/12
Latest Beige Book Released

11/21/12
Beige Book Highlights: Modest Growth and Expectations

11/21/12
October Surprise

11/21/12
Deflation Probability Measure Ticked Up

11/21/12
Business Inflation Expectations Rise in November

11/20/12
Rose-Colored Glasses Make the Future Look Blurry: Sales Uncertainty as Seen by the November BIE

11/19/12
Southeast Housing Update: October Home Sales Remain Positive; Access to Financing Remains Limited

11/15/12
Sticky CPI Inflation Unchanged at 2.4 Percent in October

11/15/12
Dalton Resilience

11/15/12
Deflation Probability Measure Dropped

11/13/12
(Fiscal) Cliff Notes

11/9/12
Data Digest: Southeast Economy Improved Modestly in September

11/9/12
Getting the Questions Right

11/8/12
Real Time Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle

11/8/12
Deflation Probability Measure Fell Slightly

11/8/12
Sandy, Santa, and Shipping

11/5/12
Reading Labor Markets

11/2/12
Has Fed Behavior Changed?

11/2/12
Jobs Calculator Updated with October Data, Revisions

11/1/12
Deflation Probability Measure Remained at 13 Percent

10/31/12
From “Hee Haw” to Hollywood

10/31/12
Wages and Unemployment across Business Cycles: A High-Frequency Investigation

10/26/12
Trading Down and Out: Does This Trend Really Hold for Most Markets?

10/26/12
Business Inflation Expectations Inch Up in October

10/25/12
The Role of Government in the Housing Finance Market

10/25/12
Timidity Persists, but Better Signals Emerging

10/25/12
Deflation Probabilities Virtually Unchanged

10/23/12
Convening Solutions

10/23/12
EconSouth Looks Back at Evolution of Economic Indicators

10/19/12
Investor Participation in the Home-Buying Market

10/19/12
Southeast Housing Update: Investors Continue to Contribute to Improvements

10/18/12
Deflation Probability Measure Continued Pattern

10/17/12
Happier Holidays?

10/16/12
Data Digest: Economic Recovery Remains Slow in Southeast

10/16/12
EconSouth Explores Return of Construction Cranes in South Florida

10/16/12
Sticky Price CPI Rose in September

10/11/12
The (Maybe Not So) Simple Arithmetic of Unemployment and Labor Force Participation

10/11/12
More on Natural Gas

10/11/12
Deflation Probability Measure Inched Up

10/10/12
Divergent Jobs Reports: Will the Real State of the Labor Market Please Stand Up?

10/9/12
Cows as Collateral: Making a Move on Movable Assets

10/9/12
Supporting Price Stability

10/5/12
Jobs Calculator Updated with September Data, Revisions

10/4/12
Middle Tennessee Economy Slogging Along, but Bright Spots Emerging

10/4/12
Deflation Probability Measure Fell Slightly

10/3/12
Trends in Small Business Lending

10/2/12
Wanted: Jobs 2.0—EconSouth Explores Economic Development in the Rural South

10/2/12
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Announces 2013 Dates for Survey of Business Inflation Expectations (BIE)

9/28/12
The Region’s Farm Sector Plows Ahead

9/27/12
How Big Is the Output Gap? More Perspectives from Our Business Inflation Expectations Survey

9/27/12
Scientists? Engineers? How about Gardeners?

9/27/12
Deflation Probability Measure Ticked Up

9/24/12
Exports from U.S. Metropolitan Areas

9/20/12
Examining the Recession’s Effects on Labor Markets

9/20/12
Deflation Probability Measure Inched Down

9/20/12
Southeastern Housing Update: A Closer Look at Lot Inventories

9/19/12
What We Heard on Labor Markets

9/19/12
Business Inflation Expectations Decrease in September

9/17/12
Will the Housing Market Recovery Leave the Hardest-Hit Neighborhoods Behind?

9/14/12
Moderate Progress for Southeast Economy in July, Data Digest Reports

9/14/12
Energy Resources Abound

9/14/12
Sticky CPI Decelerated in August

9/13/12
2012–17 Deflation Probability Declined Slightly

9/13/12
Keeping Up with the Technologies

9/11/12
The Decline in Unemployment: Any Silver Lining?

9/7/12
The Devil's in the Tail: Residential Mortgage Finance and the U.S. Treasury

9/7/12
How Many Jobs Does It Take?

9/6/12
Help Wanted

9/6/12
Deflation Probability Measure Virtually Unchanged

9/5/12
A Closer Look at Regional Unemployment Rates

9/4/12
Atlanta Fed Research: New Evidence on Impact of Foreclosures

8/31/12
Looking at the Fed’s Dual Mandate from a Beige Book Perspective

8/30/12
Deflation Probability Measure Held Steady

8/29/12
Rising House Prices: The Good Fortune Spreads

8/24/12
The Cost-Benefit Challenge

8/24/12
Southeastern Housing Update: Sales Up, Inventories Down, Prices Rising

8/23/12
Do Firms Have Pricing Power?

8/23/12
Deflation Probability Measure Ticked Down

8/22/12
The (Unfortunately?) Consistent Record of the Recovery: Duy and Thoma Respond

8/22/12
Not Bad, Not Great: A Labor Market Update

8/22/12
Business Inflation Expectations Rise Slightly in August

8/17/12
The (Unfortunately?) Consistent Record of the Recovery

8/16/12
Well, It’s Not Any Worse

8/16/12
Deflation Probability Measure Unchanged

8/15/12
Sticky CPI decelerated

8/14/12
Data Digest: Southeast Economic Performance Mixed in June

8/10/12
Deflation Probabilities on Our Radar Screen

8/9/12
Plugging Into the Network

8/9/12
Longer-Term Deflation Probability Measure Notched Down

8/8/12
Employment Growth Staggers

8/3/12
Jobs Calculator Updated with July Data, Revisions

8/3/12
Truckonomics: An Industry on the Move

8/2/12
Longer-Term Deflation Probabilities Held Steady

7/31/12
Prospects for Southeastern Commercial Construction Gain Momentum

7/27/12
Positive Housing Trends Seen in Middle Tennessee

7/26/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities don’t change

7/23/12
How big is the output gap?

7/23/12
Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged in July

7/20/12
Regional small businesses anticipate ongoing capital improvement

7/19/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities little changed

7/18/12
Atlanta Fed’s Beige Book points to modest growth, rising caution

7/17/12
June sticky CPI inched up

7/16/12
The Long Run Health Returns to College Quality

7/13/12
What’s to be done?

7/12/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities remained stable

7/11/12
Data Digest: A Mixed Report on the Southeast Economy

7/11/12
An Interview with Nobel Laureate Chris Sims

7/10/12
Manufacturing sector cools off amid heat wave

7/6/12
Real Time Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle

7/6/12
Jobs Calculator Adds New Features

7/5/12
Longer-term deflation probability measure notched up

7/5/12
Sunny in northeast Florida: More signs of a housing rebound

6/29/12
Regional tourism: Beyond the beach

6/28/12
Young versus mature small firms seeking credit

6/28/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities ticked up

6/26/12
Exploring U.S.-Mexico Relations

6/25/12
EconSouth Explores Energy Sector Dynamics in Louisiana

6/25/12
Do falling commodity prices imply disinflation ahead?

6/25/12
Regional Economy Grows Modestly amid Concerns over Downside Risks

6/22/12
Employment growth and the FOMC Summary of Economic Projections

6/22/12
Business Inflation Expectations Dip Again in June

6/21/12
Foreclosure Externalities: Some New Evidence

6/21/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities changed little

6/20/12
Southeastern housing update: Regional home sales growth remains positive in May

6/18/12
District employment increases modestly in May

6/15/12
Capital expenditure plans for regional firms

6/14/12
Data Digest: Southeastern Jobs, Real Estate Gain in April

6/14/12
May sticky CPI up

6/14/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities remain stable

6/13/12
The armchair Fed historian

6/11/12
Fed purchases of government debt: Flow-share versus stock-share

6/7/12
Annual Review recaps work of Americas Center in 2011

6/7/12
The skills gap: Still trying to separate myth from fact

6/7/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inch up

6/7/12
Beige Book: Positive but cautious

6/4/12
Will labor force participation continue to rise?

6/1/12
By how much does job growth fall short of lowering unemployment?

5/31/12
What is shadow banking?

5/31/12
Longer-term deflation probability rises

5/24/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inch higher

5/24/12
The relative expansion of central banks’ balance sheets

5/23/12
Business Inflation Expectations Moderate in May

5/23/12
The three faces of postcrisis monetary policy

5/22/12
Georgia employment on my mind

5/18/12
Manufacturing employment: A longer view

5/17/12
Is inflation targeting really dead?

5/17/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities about the same

5/15/12
Sticky CPI rose in April

5/14/12
Atlanta Fed Working Paper Explores Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis

5/11/12
Signs of rebuilding in housing?

5/11/12
Labor force nonparticipants: So what are they doing?

5/10/12
Southeast Economy Gains Some Ground in March

5/10/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inch lower

5/10/12
Regional manufacturing remained strong in April

5/9/12
A take on labor force participation and the unemployment rate

5/4/12
Do new numbers change the employment outlook?

5/3/12
Inflation Project incorporates new data for constructing longer-term deflation probabilities

5/3/12
Symmetric goals, asymmetric risks

5/2/12
Regional job growth slows in March, unemployment rate falls further

4/30/12
Regional Economy Continues to Expand at a Moderate Pace

4/26/12
Can home loan modification through the 60/40 Plan really save the housing sector?

4/26/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities barely budged

4/23/12
Southeast Economy Makes Modest Gains in February

4/19/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities virtually the same

4/18/12
Participate in the Atlanta Fed Small Business Owners Survey

4/17/12
What’s the story behind Tennessee’s strong construction employment data?

4/16/12
Business Inflation Expectations Increase in April

4/16/12
Taking a deeper dive into the definition of inflation

4/13/12
Sticky CPI rose in March

4/13/12
Is the composition of job growth behind slow income growth?

4/13/12
Snapshots from the Beige Book

4/12/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inched up

4/12/12
Southeast manufacturing PMI continues to indicate expansion in March

4/11/12
The Devil’s in the Details

4/9/12
The structure of the structural unemployment question

4/6/12
Historical perspective on monthly job growth, and Jobs Calculator enhancements

4/6/12
Employment data point to continued regional recovery

4/5/12
Immigration Myths Unveiled

4/5/12
Debunking a popular myth about mortgage lending

4/5/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities stay about the same

4/4/12
More insights from the 2012 NABE Economic Policy Conference

3/29/12
Employment and Recession

3/29/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities virtually unchanged

3/27/12
A broader view of labor markets

3/26/12
Recession's Impact on the Workforce

3/23/12
The TARGET2 Settlement System in the Eurozone
March/April 2012

3/23/12
Why we debate

3/22/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities don't move

3/21/12
Business Inflation Expectations Rise Slightly in March

3/19/12
Inaugural Report Shows the Regional Economy Improving

3/16/12
February’s sticky price CPI rose 1.5 percent

3/16/12
Unconventional policy or unconventional circumstances?

3/16/12
Whither Florida?

3/15/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities tick down

3/15/12
Revised data paint brighter employment picture in the Southeast

3/9/12
What if...? Looking beyond this month’s jobs numbers

3/9/12
Southeast PMI surges in February

3/8/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities stay the same

3/6/12
Regional survey shows positive developments in real estate

3/6/12
How many jobs does it take? Introducing the new Jobs Calculator

3/5/12
Retail and Real Estate Survey Results

3/2/12
Atlanta Fed’s Beige Book shows an increase in regional economic activity

3/1/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down again

2/28/12
Georgia outlook update

2/23/12
Slight change in the longer-term deflation probability

2/22/12
Moral Hazard, Investment, and Firm Dynamics

2/22/12
Business inflation expectations up slightly in February

2/22/12
Weighing the risks to the inflation outlook: Two views

2/17/12
Sticky price CPI rose 3 percent in January

2/17/12
Regional information backs national employment trends

2/16/12
December Brings Measured Improvements in Southeast Economy

2/16/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities remain unchanged

2/16/12
How are we doing?

2/13/12
Real Time Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle

2/10/12
Reading the bump in inventories

2/9/12
The Southeast PMI rings in 2012

2/9/12
Longer-term deflation probability at the same level

2/7/12
Florida real estate looking up

2/3/12
Employment: Some good news, some bad news

2/2/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities inch down

2/1/12
Survey highlights regional employment trends

2/1/12
Shocks Unbalance the Global Economy

1/27/12
New Survey Measures Business Inflation Expectations

1/27/12
“Rats!”

1/27/12
What do you expect? Surveying inflation expectations

1/26/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities ticked down

1/23/12
Making the Case for a Low Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution

1/20/12
Initial unemployment claims head down, slowly

1/19/12
Sticky price CPI rose 2.7 percent

1/19/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities did not move

1/19/12
Stay informed with the latest data releases from Economic and Financial Highlights

1/19/12
Georgia on my mind (again)

1/18/12
Sovereign Debt and Default
November/December 2011

1/17/12
2011's Reluctant Recovery: Breaking Through in 2012?

1/13/12
Forecasting at the national and regional levels

1/12/12
Atlanta Fed Announces Monthly Survey of Business Inflation Expectations and Updated Inflation Project Web Page

1/12/12
Keeping an eye on inflation

1/12/12
Stay informed with the latest data releases from Economic and Financial Highlights

1/11/12
Data Digest reports slow, steady growth in Southeast economy

1/11/12
Regional economy expands in late 2011

1/6/12
In the interest of precision

1/6/12
Longer-term deflation probabilities change little

1/6/12
More on the Sixth District’s exposure to Europe

1/5/12
Stay informed with the latest data releases from Economic and Financial Highlights

1/4/12
Happy new year

1/3/12
The Southeast Struggles to Recover

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