2016

Feb 05, 2016

Introducing the Refined Labor Market Spider Chart

The Atlanta Fed introduced the labor market spider chart to depict the extent of recovery of various labor market indicators since the 2007–09 recession. Since considerable or complete recovery has been made for many of these indicators, we've made refinements to the spider chart. A new macroblog post discusses why we made them and what they depict.

Feb 05, 2016

Labor Market Tracking Tools Updated With January Data

What do January employment data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Spider Chart and the Jobs Calculator to find out.

Feb 05, 2016

GDPNow Forecast for First Quarter Rises

On February 5, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2016 is 2.2 percent. View GDPNow for more details.

Feb 05, 2016

"Independent" Voters Not So Independent?

During a January 20 talk at the Atlanta Fed's headquarters, University of Texas professor Chris Wlezien discussed the reliability, or unreliability, of pre-election polls and the factors that motivate voters to cast ballots for particular candidates.

Feb 05, 2016

Lessons: Teaching Human Capital and the Importance of Postsecondary Education

In these two Extra Credit lessons, students will assess their current and future human capital—their knowledge, skills, and training. Students will gain an understanding of the connection between their education level and earning potential, and explore the costs of a higher education.

Feb 04, 2016

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on commodity price index, core capital goods, disposable personal income and personal saving rate, ism manufacturing purchasing managers index, pce price index components, personal consumption expenditures, unemployment insurance weekly initial claims, u.s. house prices, single family homes, and more.

Feb 04, 2016

GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

The U.S. economy is still in an expansion phase, according to the latest reading of the GDP-based recession index.

Feb 04, 2016

2015–20 Deflation Unchanged

The 2015–20 deflation probability was 5 percent on February 3, unchanged from January 27.

Feb 04, 2016

The Sum of the Parts: A Look at Auto Parts Manufacturing Employment in the Southeast

As automaking’s presence has grown in the Southeast, auto parts manufacturing has become a more significant regional employer. Economy Matters looks at the evolution of auto parts manufacturing, why it has grown in the Southeast, its impact on wages in the region, and more.

Feb 03, 2016

New Year, New Beginnings

Southeastern firms point to a generally positive business environment for 2016. However, that optimism is tempered somewhat by a greater sense of caution expressed by some contacts, reports Southeastern Insights.

Feb 01, 2016

Putting All Our Payment Eggs in a Single Basket

As long as people have had things, we have had theft. Computers did not change that. Take On Payments discusses cyberattacks and one way to mitigate risk.

Jan 29, 2016

Shrinking Labor Market Opportunities for the Disabled?

Although workers with disabilities have always faced employment obstacles not encountered by nondisabled workers, an increasing number of disabled workers have departed the labor force in recent years. A new macroblog post examines the data to place the trend in context.

Jan 29, 2016

The Role of Intermediary Competition in Government Interventions: The Case of HARP

The federal government, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac developed the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) to help distressed mortgage borrowers. Notes from the Vault shows that HARP initially gave a competitive advantage to current servicers, which resulted in limited competition.

Jan 28, 2016

2015–20 Deflation Ticks Down

The 2015–20 deflation probability was 5 percent on January 27, down from 6 percent on January 20.

Jan 28, 2016

Trade Dynamics between the United States and China: Part 1

How tied up in China's economic performance is the performance of the U.S. economy and the performance of economies around the world? This first installment of a three-part series in Economy Matters sheds some light on this issue.

Jan 28, 2016

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on the consumer price index and more.

Jan 27, 2016

Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that labor market conditions improved further even as economic growth slowed late last year.

Jan 27, 2016

Jobs Calculator Updated with State Data

How many jobs does it take in your state? Check out our state-level Jobs Calculator to learn how December data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics affect the outlook for unemployment in each state.

Jan 25, 2016

Waiting for the Other EMV Shoe to Drop

The second phase of the EMV liability shift is set for October 2016. This week's Take On Payments asks, how will the shift affect independent ATM owners?

Jan 25, 2016

Economic Systems Infographic Activity: Comparative Economic Systems

Are you teaching economic systems? This month Extra Credit wants you to use the Atlanta Fed's Economic Systems Infographic to launch a study of comparative economic systems with your students. Combining online research, data analysis, and evidence-based writing, this new activity will take your students to the next level!

Jan 22, 2016

Wage Growth Tracker Flat in December

Wage growth was flat in December according to the Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker. Median wage growth was 3.1% year over year in December, the same as the November reading.

Jan 21, 2016

2015–20 Deflation Ticks Up

The 2015–20 deflation probability was 6 percent on January 20, up from 5 percent on January 13.

Jan 21, 2016

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on consumer price index, housing starts, industrial production and more.

Jan 21, 2016

Our Aim Is True (and False)

True or false? You have a thorough knowledge of Federal Reserve history and the people who helped shape it. Take the newest Economy Matters quiz and find out!

Jan 20, 2016

myCPI Features December Data, Sticky-Price CPI Rises

The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with new data. Compare your personal consumer price index with the U.S. average. The sticky-price CPI rose 1.8 percent (annualized) in December, following a 2.4 percent increase in November.

Jan 19, 2016

Mobile Wallets: Is This the Year?

So will this year be the one when mobile wallets finally gain traction? Take On Payments returns to this topic and notes some progress and some anomalies.

Jan 15, 2016

Are Long-Term Inflation Expectations Declining? Not So Fast, Says Atlanta Fed

Some media reports say that shifting inflation expectations are clouding the outlook for interest rates in 2016. In a new macroblog post, Atlanta Fed experts suggest that longer-term inflation expectations remain well-anchored and stable even as oil prices have declined.

Jan 14, 2016

2015–20 Deflation Probability Unchanged

The 2015–20 deflation probability was 5 percent on January 13, unchanged from the previous week.

Jan 14, 2016

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on average hourly earnings, contributions to real gdp growth, economic policy uncertainty index, international trade, payroll employment changes, personal consumption expenditures, single family home sales, unemployment and labor force and more.

Jan 14, 2016

Construction and Real Estate Survey: Outlook Improves

Our December survey shows a more positive trend for residential home sales activity over the next three months. Many contacts expect sales to hold steady or increase slightly compared to a year earlier.

Jan 14, 2016

The Atlanta Fed's Miami Branch: A Hub for U.S. Currency

The Miami Branch of the Atlanta Fed occupies an important role as a currency hub for international financial institutions as well as the Fed. Economy Matters looks at some of the functions of the branch, from ensuring an adequate supply of currency to making sure currency is in good condition.

Jan 13, 2016

Beige Book: Southeastern Contacts Report Largely Positive Conditions

Contacts around the Sixth District reported moderately improving economic conditions, according to the latest release of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, which summarizes regional economies. District contacts described tightening labor markets, solid levels of consumer spending, but slowing manufacturing activity.

Jan 13, 2016

Business Inflation Expectations Fall

Firms anticipate 1.8 percent inflation over the coming year, a tenth of a percentage point decline from December, according to the Atlanta Fed's Business Inflation Expectations survey. Long-term inflation expectations are unchanged from last October's reading.

Jan 13, 2016

The Fed Explains Monetary Policy

The newest episode of the Fed Explained video series focuses on monetary policy: the role of the central bank, how it achieves its economic goals, and some of the tools developed in response to the financial crisis.

Jan 12, 2016

Labor Market Spider Chart Updated with JOLTS Data

Monitor labor market progress with our Labor Market Spider Chart, now with November data on job openings, hires, layoffs, and quits (JOLTS).

Jan 11, 2016

Post-Liftoff, Peering into 2016

Atlanta Fed President and CEO Dennis Lockhart speaks to the Rotary Club of Atlanta on January 11, 2016, about recent monetary policy, factors that could influence the economy in 2016, and his outlook for the coming year.

Jan 11, 2016

Prisoner Release Cards: How to Protect the Interests of Recently Released Inmates?

Just-released prisoners receive money to help them reenter the world, money that more and more often comes on prepaid cards.Take On Payments discusses efforts to make sure these newly released inmates have ready access to these funds.

Jan 08, 2016

Labor Market Tracking Tools Updated With December Data

What do December employment data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Spider Chart and the Jobs Calculator to find out.

Jan 07, 2016

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on housing starts, industrial production, pce price index components, house prices, single-family homes sales, and more.

Jan 07, 2016

2015–20 Deflation Probability Unchanged

The 2015–20 deflation probability was 5 percent on January 6, unchanged from the previous week.

Jan 07, 2016

Data Digests Updated with Recent Data

View our interactive charts, which feature recent data and note current economic activity and trends in employment and real estate in the Southeast.

Jan 07, 2016

What Occupational Projections Say about Entry-Level Skill Demand

Employers seek a variety of education, experience, and training to fill their jobs. Recent projections of future occupational demand also provide insight about those needs. A new macroblog post explores the implication for job seekers of the distribution of entry-level skill demand across the U.S. labor force.

Jan 07, 2016

Rethinking Workforce Development

Many of the old assumptions about successfully competing in today's workplace no longer seem safe. A new book examines ways to modernize America's approach to educating, training, and retraining workers, and Economy Matters was at the book's recent launch event.

Jan 06, 2016

Minutes of the December 15–16 FOMC Meeting Released

The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee released the minutes of the Committee meeting held on December 15–16, 2015.

Jan 06, 2016

Wu-Xia Shadow Federal Funds Rate

In December, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate for the first time in seven years. Because the Wu-Xia shadow fed funds rate was very highly correlated with the fed funds rate prior to December 2008, we will discontinue regular updates.

Jan 04, 2016

The Year In Review

Mobile proximity payments were a top story in 2015, as in the past several years, but Take On Payments says 2015 will best be remembered for deals. In this year-end post, the blog reviews the year gone by.

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