Deflation Probabilities Increase Slightly

Deflation Probabilities Increase Slightly

On August 24, the 2016–21 deflation probability was 11 percent and the 2015–20 deflation probability was 6 percent.

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GDPNow Forecast for Third Quarter Falls

GDPNow Forecast for Third Quarter Falls

On August 25, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2016 is 3.4 percent. View GDPNow for more details.
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Jobs Calculator Updated with July State Data

Jobs Calculator Updated with July State Data

How many jobs does it take in your state? Check out our state-level Jobs Calculator to learn how July data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics affect the outlook for unemployment in each state.
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UPDATES & OTHER NEWS
Deflation Probabilities Little Changed
August 18, 2016
Deflation Probabilities Little Changed
On August 17, the 2016–21 deflation probability was 10 percent and the 2015–20 deflation probability was 4 percent.
Economic & Financial Highlights
August 18, 2016
Economic & Financial Highlights
View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on consumer price index, industrial production, retail sales, unemployment insurance weekly initial claims, and more.
Are Lemons Sold First? A Discussion of the Mortgage Market
August 18, 2016
Are Lemons Sold First? A Discussion of the Mortgage Market
The housing crisis made clear that not all mortgage bonds are equally good investments. But what can we learn today from how mortgages are offered for sale as investments? The Economy Matters podcast talks to an Atlanta Fed economist to find out. podcast