GDPNow Forecast for Second Quarter Declines Slightly

GDPNow Forecast for Second Quarter Declines Slightly

On July 27, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2016 is 2.3 percent. View GDPNow for more details.
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Jobs Calculator Updated with State Data

Jobs Calculator Updated with State Data

How many jobs does it take in your state? Check out our state-level Jobs Calculator to learn how June data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics affect the outlook for unemployment in each state.
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Coming to Our Census: A Look at the Atlanta Fed's Research Data Center

Coming to Our Census: A Look at the Atlanta Fed's Research Data Center

The Atlanta Fed is home to a Research Data Center (RDC), which gives qualified researchers access to data available in few other places. In this Economy Matters podcast episode, Julie Hotchkiss, director of the Atlanta RDC, discusses how the facility enables research that otherwise would not be possible. podcast
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UPDATES & OTHER NEWS
Economic & Financial Highlights
July 21, 2016
Economic & Financial Highlights
View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on the consumer price index, housing starts, industrial production, unemployment insurance weekly initial claims, and more.
Deflation Probabilities Little Changed
July 21, 2016
Deflation Probabilities Little Changed
On July 20, the 2016–21 deflation probability was 13 percent and the 2015–20 deflation probability was 5 percent.
Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market
July 18, 2016
Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market
Manuel Adelino, Kristopher Gerardi, and Barney Hartman-Glaser
Working Paper 2016-8 (July)
Using detailed information about the residential mortgage market, the authors find a positive relationship between a mortgage's performance and its time to sale, providing some of the first evidence of a signaling mechanism through delay of trade.