Deflation Probabilities Increase Slightly

Deflation Probabilities Increase Slightly

On May 25, the 2015–20 deflation probability was 2 percent and the 2016–21 deflation probability was 12 percent.
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Economic & Financial Highlights

Economic & Financial Highlights

View the latest series of charts from our Economic & Financial Highlights page, including new data on sales and months' supply of existing single-family homes, sales and months' supply of new single-family homes, U.S. single-family homes sales and more.
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GDPNow Forecast for Second Quarter Increases

GDPNow Forecast for Second Quarter Increases

On May 26, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2016 is 2.9 percent. View GDPNow for more details.
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UPDATES & OTHER NEWS
Can Two Wrongs Make a Right?
May 23, 2016
Can Two Wrongs Make a Right?
Measuring gross domestic product in real time in notoriously complex, prone to errors and biases in numerous moving parts. A new macroblog post examines where some potential forecast errors originate and how to combat them.
Jobs Calculator Updated with State Data
May 20, 2016
Jobs Calculator Updated with State Data
How many jobs does it take in your state? Check out our state-level Jobs Calculator to learn how April data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics affect the outlook for unemployment in each state.
Deflation Probabilities Decline
May 19, 2016
Deflation Probabilities Decline
On May 18, the 2015–20 deflation probability was 1 percent and the 2016–21 deflation probability was 11 percent.