About Us

Atlanta Fed Working Papers

2014

2014-27
The Inflation Expectations of Firms: What Do They Look Like, Are They Accurate, and Do They Matter?
Michael F. Bryan, Brent H. Meyer, and Nicholas B. Parker
December 2014
Abstract | Full text  (1,898 KB)

Other Working Papers

2019

NBER Working Paper No. 25956 (also published as an Atlanta Fed working paper 2019-13b)
Surveying Business Uncertainty
David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker
June 2019
Abstract | Full text 

Articles

Nicholas Parker. "Survey of Business Uncertainty Methodology ". November 2018.

Nicholas Parker. "Interview with an Expert Series—Usability Testing in Survey Research. Survey Practice. September 11, 2018.

Nicholas Parker. "Atlanta Fed Surveyor Constantly Refines His Craft" Economy Matters. January 30, 2018.

Nicholas Parker. "Divergence: Wealth and Income Inequality in the United States"  EconSouth. Q4 2014.

Nicholas Parker. "Surveying the Economic Landscape"  EconSouth. Q2 2013.

Blog Posts

David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, and Nick Parker. "American Firms Foresee a Huge Negative Impact of the Coronavirus," macroblog. March 23, 2020.

David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, and Nick Parker. "New Evidence Points to Mounting Trade Policy Effects on U.S. Business Activity," macroblog. November 1, 2019.

David Altig, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nick Parker. "Tariff Worries and U.S. Business Investment, Take Two," macroblog. February 25, 2019.

David Altig, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nick Parker. "Are Tariff Worries Cutting into Business Investment?," macroblog. August 7, 2018.

Dave Alitg, Nicholas Parker, Brent Meyer, Steve Davis, Nick Bloom, José Barrero. "What Are Businesses Saying about Tax Reform Now?," macroblog. March 23, 2018.

Dave Alitg, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "What Businesses Said about Tax Reform," macroblog. January 17, 2018.

Dave Alitg, Nicholas Parker, and Brent Meyer. "The Fed's Inflation Goal: What Does the Public Know?," macroblog. April 19, 2017.

Nicholas Parker and Dave Alitg. "Gauging Firm Optimism in a Time of Transition," macroblog. March 2, 2017.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Lockhart Casts a Line into the Murky Waters of Uncertainty," macroblog. July 18, 2016.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "What Do U.S. Businesses Know that New Zealand Businesses Don't? A Lot (Apparently)," macroblog. September 21, 2015.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Approaching the Promised Land? Yes and No," macroblog. June 23, 2015.

Nicholas Parker. "Sales Flexing Muscle at More Firms," macroblog. May 18, 2015.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Are Oil Prices "Passing Through"?," macroblog. February 23, 2015.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Business as Usual?," macroblog. February 20, 2015.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys. macroblog.
Part 1: The Perspective of Firms. January 5, 2015.
Part 2: The Question You Ask Matters—A Lot<. January 7, 2015.
Part 3: Do Firms Know What They Don’t Know? January 9, 2015.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Are You Sure We're Not There Yet?," macroblog. August 18, 2014.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Does Forward Guidance Reach Main Street?," macroblog. August 19, 2013.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Commodity Prices and Inflation: The Perspective of Firms," macroblog. July 16, 2013.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Getting Back to Normal?," macroblog. June 25, 2013.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Labor Costs, Inflation Expectations, and the Affordable Care Act: What Businesses Are Telling Us," macroblog. May 16, 2013.

Mike Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Weighing In on the Recent Discrepancy in the Inflation Statistics," macroblog. May 9, 2013.

Mike Bryan and Nicholas Parker. "Improvement in the Outlook? The BIE Panel Thinks So," macroblog. April 16, 2013.

Mike Bryan and Nicholas Parker. "You Say You’re a Homeowner and Not a Renter? Think Again.," macroblog. March 11, 2013.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. "Rose-Colored Glasses Make the Future Look Blurry: Sales Uncertainty as Seen by the November BIE," macroblog. November 20, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. "How Big Is the Output Gap? More Perspectives from Our Business Inflation Expectations Survey," macroblog. September 27, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, Nicholas Parker, and Kate Rees. "Do Firms Have Pricing Power?," macroblog. August 23, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. "Do falling commodity prices imply disinflation ahead?," macroblog. June 25, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. "Weighing the risks to the inflation outlook: Two views," macroblog. February 22, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. " What do you expect? Surveying inflation expectations," macroblog. January 27, 2012.

Mike Bryan, Laurel Graefe, and Nicholas Parker. "Keeping an eye on inflation," macroblog. January 12, 2012.

Podcast Episodes 

Interviewed by Tom Heintjes. "Taking the Pulse of Firm Optimism." Economy Matters podcast. July 31, 2017.

Nicholas Parker interviewing Mike Bryan. "The Role of Federal Reserve Surveys." EconSouth Now podcast. June 20, 2013.

Other

"New Survey Aims to Sharpen Understanding of Uncertainty." Economy Matters. January 24, 2019.