photo of Mike Bryan

Michael Bryan

Vice President and Senior Economist
email :: 404-498-8915

To interview economists, press should contact Public Affairs at 404-498-8748.

  • Biography

    Michael Bryan is a vice president and senior economist on the macroeconomics and monetary policy team in the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. He is responsible for organizing the Atlanta Fed's monetary policy process.

    Mr. Bryan previously served as vice president in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, where he specialized in business analysis with an emphasis on measuring and tracking inflation trends. He joined the Cleveland Fed as a bank examiner in 1978 and transferred to the research department the next year. In 1986, Mr. Bryan served as an economist in the Research Division of the Federal Reserve System's Board of Governors in Washington, D.C. He was promoted to the position of economic adviser in 1991 and appointed as a bank officer in 1995. In 1998, he was a visiting scholar at the Bank of Japan's Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies in Tokyo, and in 2000, he was a visiting economist at the Swedish Riksbank in Stockholm. Mr. Bryan has served on the faculties of the Booth Graduate School of Business at the University of Chicago, Cleveland State University, Baldwin-Wallace College, and Case Western Reserve University, the last three in Cleveland. He joined the Atlanta Fed in 2008.

    A native of Cleveland, Mr. Bryan earned a bachelor's degree in business from Miami University in Oxford, Ohio, and a master's degree in economics from Case Western Reserve University.

  • Working Papers

    Atlanta Fed Working Papers

    2014-27a
    The Inflation Expectations of Firms: What Do They Look Like, Are They Accurate, and Do They Matter?
    Michael F. Bryan, Brent H. Meyer, and Nicholas B. Parker
    (Revised) January 2015
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (728 KB)

    Cleveland Fed Working PapersOff-site link

    05-02
    Testing Near-Rationality Using Detailed Survey Data
    Michael F. Bryan and Stefan Palmqvist
    April 2005
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (382 KB)

    97-07
    Efficient Inflation Expectation
    Michael F. Bryan, Stephen Cecchetti, and Rodney L. Wiggins II
    August 1997
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (935 KB)

    93-04
    Measuring Core Inflation
    Michael F. Bryan and Stephen Cecchetti
    June 1993
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (1.08 MB)

    91-22
    A Different Kind of Money Illusion: The Case of Long and Variable Lags
    Michael F. Bryan and William Gavin
    December 1991
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (1.17 MB)

  • Other Fed Work

    ArticlesOff-site link

    Michael F. Bryan and Linsey Molloy. "Mirror, Mirror, Who's the Best Forecaster of Them All?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 2007.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (122 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Island Money," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, February 2004.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (131 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Bruce A. Champ. "The Trime," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, January 2004.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (148 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Fear and Loathing of Central Banks in America," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 2002.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (51.6 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Is It More Expensive, or Does It Just Cost More Money?" Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, May 2002.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (61.9 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Guhan Venkatu. "The Curiously Different Inflation Perspectives of Men and Women," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, November 2001.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (68.1 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Guhan Venkatu. "The Demographics of Inflation Opinion Surveys," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, October 2001.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (61.2 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan, Bruce A. Champ, and Jennifer K. Ransom. "Who Is That Guy on the $10 Bill?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 2000.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (36.8 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "On the Origin and Evolution of the Word Inflation," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, October 1997.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (70.9 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Bad Standards," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, October 1997.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (41.2 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Jagadeesh Gokhale. "The Consumer Price Index and National Saving," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, October 1995.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (202 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "The Seasonality of Consumer Prices," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Review, (1995 No 2).
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (514 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and John B. Martin. "Year-End Report of the Fourth District Economists' Roundtable," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, December 1994.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (514 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and John B. Martin. "Midyear Report of the Fourth District Economist's Roundtable," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, August 1994.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (257 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and John B. Martin. "Report of the Fourth District Economists' Roundtable," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, January 1994.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (198 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Stephen Cecchetti. "The Consumer Price Index as a Measure of Inflation," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Review, (1993 No4).
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (461 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "The Business Cycle, Investment, and a Wayward M2: A Midyear Review," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, July 1992.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (293 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and David E. Altig. "Can Conventional Theory Explain the Unconventional Recovery?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, April 1992.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (234 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Christopher J. Pike. "Median Price Changes: An Alternative Approach to Measuring Current Monetary Inflation," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, December 1991.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (196 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and John B. Martin. "Realignment in the U.S. Motor Vehicle Industry," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 1991.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (196 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and William T. Gavin. "Forecast Accuracy and Monetary Policy," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, January 1991.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (204 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan, Gerald H. Anderson and Christopher J. Pike. "Oil, the Economy, and Monetary Policy," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, November 1990.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (239 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Susan M. Byrne. "Don't Worry, We'll Grow Out of It: An Analysis of Demographics, Consumer Spending, and Foreign Debt," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, October 1990.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (281 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Is Manufacturing Disappearing?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, July 1985.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (145 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Gary Whalen. "The Financial Distress in American Farming," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 1985.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (149 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Owen F. Humpage. "Will Taxing Imports Help?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 1985.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (131 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Beauty and the Bulls: The Investment Characteristics of Paintings," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Review, vol. 21, no. 1, January 1985.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (617 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan and Owen F. Humpage. "The Costs of a Protectionist Cure," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, July 1984.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (617 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "The Mythology of Domestic Content," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 1983.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (126 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Issues in the 1983 Auto-Sales Outlook," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 1983.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (139 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Anatomy of a Price-Fix," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, July 1982.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (138 KB)

    Michael F. Bryan. "Unemployment Insurance: An Old Lesson for the New Federalism?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, April 1982.
    Abstract | Full text Adobe PDF file format (134 KB)

    Blog Posts

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Lockhart Casts a Line into the Murky Waters of Uncertainty." macroblog, July 18, 2016.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "What Do U.S. Businesses Know that New Zealand Businesses Don't? A Lot (Apparently).." macroblog. September 21, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Approaching the Promised Land? Yes and No.." macroblog. June 23, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "myCPI: Getting More Personal with Inflation." macroblog. May 27, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Are Oil Prices "Passing Through"?." macroblog. February 23, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Business as Usual?." macroblog. February 20, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 3: Do Firms Know What They Don't Know?." macroblog. January 9, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 2: The Question You Ask Matters—A Lot." macroblog. January 7, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 1: The Perspective of Firms." macroblog. January 5, 2015.

    Michael F. Bryan, Patrick Higgins, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Weighing In on the Recent Discrepancy in the Inflation Statistics." macroblog. May 9, 2013.

    Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Should we even read the monthly inflation report? Maybe not. Then again...." macroblog. June 1, 2011.

    Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Sticky-price CPI up slightly in April...Wait, what?." macroblog. May 28, 2010.

    Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "The September CPI with all the trimmings." macroblog. October 16, 2009.

    Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Yet another cut at the recent retail price data." macroblog. March 3, 2009.