photo of John C. Robertson

John Robertson

Senior Policy Adviser

Research Department
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
1000 Peachtree Street N.E.
Atlanta, Georgia 30309-4470
404-498-8782
john.c.robertson@atl.frb.org

To interview economists, press should contact Public Affairs at 404-498-8748.

  • Biography

    John Robertson is a senior policy adviser at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. His research has been widely published, covering a variety of macroeconomic and microeconomic topics, and he is one of the Bank's senior monetary policy advisers. He also contributes to the Atlanta Fed's macroblog, which provides commentary on economic issues, including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, and the Southeast economy, and he gives public talks on a range of economic subjects.

    Dr. Robertson joined the Atlanta Fed's research department in December 1997 from the Australian National University in Canberra, Australia. A native of Dunedin, New Zealand, Dr. Robertson holds bachelor's and master's degrees from the University of Canterbury in New Zealand and earned his PhD in economics from Virginia Tech in 1992.

  • Research

    Publications

    "Earnings on the Information Technology Roller Coaster: Insight from Matched Employer-Employee Data." 2006. Southern Economic Journal, 73(2): 342–361 (with Julie Hotchkiss and Melinda Pitts).

    "Forecasting Using Relative Entropy." 2005. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 37(3):383–402 (with Ellis Tallman and Charles Whiteman).

    "Improving Federal Funds Rate Forecasts in VAR Models Used for Policy Analysis." 2001. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 19(3):324–30 (with Ellis Tallman).

    "Forecasting for Practical Policy." 2001. In M.P. Clements and D.F. Hendry (eds) A Companion to Economic Forecasting. Blackwell, U.K. (forthcoming, with A.R. Pagan).

    "Willingness to Bid and Participate in a Vessel Buyout Program: A Case Study of New England Ground Fish." 2000. Marine Resource Economics 15(3):221–32 (with Eric Thunberg and Andrew Kitts).

    "Some Experiments in Constructing a Hybrid Model for Macroeconomic Analysis." 1998. Carnegie Rochester Series in Public Policy 49:113–42 (with A.R. Pagan and W. J. McKibbin).

    "Shocking Stories: The Identification and Interpretation of Shocks in Structural VAR Models Involving I(1) Series." 1998. Journal of Economic Surveys 12(5):507–32 (with A.R. Pagan and S. Levtchenkova).

    "Structural Models of the Liquidity Effect." 1998. Review of Economics and Statistics May: 202–217 (with A.R. Pagan).

    "The Multivariate Student Model in Robust Inference and Data Analysis." 1997. Statistica Neerlandica 51(3):269–86 (with T.S. Breusch and A.H. Welsh).

    "Modeling Exchange Rate Dynamics: Non-linear Dependence and Thick Tails." 1993. Econometric Reviews 12(1):33–63 (with A. Spanos and A. McGuirk).

    "A Simplified Model of the World Dairy Market." 1993. Journal of Policy Modeling 15(1):1–16 (with G. Griffith and R. Lattimore).

    "Demand Parameters and Policy Analysis for the Dairy Sector." 1992. Chapter 2 in Z.A. Hassan, D.P. Stonehouse, and S.R. Johnson (eds) Market Demand for Dairy Products. Ames, Iowa: Iowa State University Press (with G. Griffith and R. Lattimore).

    "Monetary Impacts on Prices in the Short and Long-Run: Some Evidence from New Zealand." 1990. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72(1): 160–72 (with D. Orden).

    Federal Reserve System Publications

    "It’s Who You Are and What You Do: Explaining the IT Industry Wage Premium." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review 90 (Third Quarter 2005): 37–45 (with Jason DeBacker, Julie Hotchkiss, and Melinda Pitts).

    "Central Bank Forecasting: An International Comparison." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review 85 (Second Quarter 2000): 21–32.

    "Vector Autoregressions: Forecasting and Reality." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review 84 (First Quarter 1999): 4–18 (with Ellis W. Tallman).

    "Data Vintages and Measuring Forecast Model Performance." Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review 83 (Fourth Quarter 1998): 4–20 (with Ellis W. Tallman).

    "Using the Federal Funds Futures Rate to Predict Federal Reserve Actions." Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 79(6) (with D.L. Thornton).

    "Resolving the Liquidity Effect," in Channels of Monetary Policy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 77(3): 33–54 (with A.R. Pagan).

    Atlanta Fed Working Papers

    2013-20
    Asymmetric Labor Force Participation Decisions over the Business Cycle: Evidence from U.S. Microdata
    Taelim Choi, John C. Robertson, and Anil Rupasingha
    December 2013
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (1 MB)

    2006-8
    Asymmetric Labor Force Participation Decisions over the Business Cycle: Evidence from U.S. Microdata
    Julie L. Hotchkiss and John C. Robertson
    July 2006
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (209 KB)

    2006-1
    The Push-Pull Effects of the Information Technology Boom and Bust: Insight from Matched Employer-Employee Data
    Julie L. Hotchkiss, M. Melinda Pitts, and John C. Robertson
    February 2006
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (245 KB)

    2005-11
    Earnings on the Information Technology Rollercoaster: Insight from Matched Employer-Employee Data
    Julie L. Hotchkiss, M. Melinda Pitts, and John C. Robertson
    June 2005
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (255 KB)

    2004-19
    Wage Gains among Job Changers across the Business Cycle: Insight from State Administrative Data
    Julie L. Hotchkiss, M. Melinda Pitts, and John C. Robertson
    August 2004
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (1.1 MB)

    2002-22
    Forecasting Using Relative Entropy
    John C. Robertson, Ellis W. Tallman, and Charles H. Whiteman
    November 2002
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (223 KB)

    99-13
    Prior Parameter Uncertainty: Some Implications for Forecasting and Policy Analysis with VAR Models
    John C. Robertson and Ellis W. Tallman
    October 1999
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (142 KB)

    99-3
    Improving Forecasts of the Federal Funds Rate in a Policy Model
    John C. Robertson and Ellis W. Tallman
    March 1999
    Abstract | Full text in PDF (94 KB)

    Current Projects

    "The Push-Pull Effects of the Information Technology Boom and Bust" (with Melinda Pitts and Julie Hotchkiss)

    "Asymmetric Labor Force Participation Decisions over the Business Cycle" (with Julie Hotchkiss)

    "The Role of Firm, Industry, and Individual Characteristics in Wage Determination across the Business Cycle" (with Melinda Pitts and Julie Hotchkiss)