Headlines - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - FRB Atlanta Announcements of general bank news, press releases, speeches, publications, and events, including workshops and conferences http://www.frbatlanta.org/rss/ en-us http://www.frbatlanta.org/ Atlanta Fed Logo http://www.frbatlanta.org/~/media/Images/assets/image_gallery/frba_logo_rss http://www.frbatlanta.org/rss/ Examining the Effects of Cashless Stores https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/economic-research/2019/06/19/examining-the-effects-of-cashless-stores?item=D629F2DF-1E0E-4773-91C4-B3163652D6A9 D629F2DF-1E0E-4773-91C4-B3163652D6A9 Wed, 19 Jun 2019 12:20:00 EST Economy Matters looks at research into the impact on consumers (especially the unbanked or underbanked) of businesses’ refusal to accept cash. Small Business Lending Trends in the Southeast https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/banking-and-finance/viewpoint/2019/06/18/small-business-lending-trends-in-the-southeast?item=33E5567E-2A2E-4E43-AF9F-22168958B062 33E5567E-2A2E-4E43-AF9F-22168958B062 Tue, 18 Jun 2019 08:00:00 EST Small businesses have historically been one of the drivers of the Southeast's economy. Economy Matters' "ViewPoint" looks at how lending to small regional firms has evolved in recent years. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=F6F6E511-2760-434B-93A5-F1C24B94C31A F6F6E511-2760-434B-93A5-F1C24B94C31A Tue, 18 Jun 2019 09:44:00 EST On June 18, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 2.0 percent, down from 2.1 percent on June 14. View GDPNow for more details. Performing and Paying in the Gig Economy https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/06/performing-paying-in-gig-economy.html?item=415DA813-67FF-47BD-BCA8-C160CE6DD898 415DA813-67FF-47BD-BCA8-C160CE6DD898 Mon, 17 Jun 2019 07:00:00 EST Chances are, your favorite musician participates in the gig economy, and so does your ride-share driver and your babysitter. Take On Payments looks at data from a recent Fed survey that provide some interesting insight into how these workers are paid. The Evolution of Health over the Life Cycle https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/06/17/evolution-of-health-over-life-cycle?item=CE9E34BF-D2D8-4FC7-AB9E-B1D2017B2184 CE9E34BF-D2D8-4FC7-AB9E-B1D2017B2184 Mon, 17 Jun 2019 06:00:00 EST Atlanta Fed research examines the evolution of health over an individual's life cycle using the frailty index, a unified and objective measure of health status. Surveying Business Uncertainty https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/06/17/surveying-business-uncertainty?item=29CCC36D-549B-40FF-BCCA-7E7FAE48A007 29CCC36D-549B-40FF-BCCA-7E7FAE48A007 Mon, 17 Jun 2019 07:00:00 EST New research examines the Survey of Business Uncertainty, which measures expected outcomes for sales, employment, and investment and the uncertainty surrounding those expectations. Wage Growth Tracker Rose to 3.7 Percent in May https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/wage-growth-tracker?item=C400055A-5C1B-4A15-A651-45F60C262DEA C400055A-5C1B-4A15-A651-45F60C262DEA Mon, 17 Jun 2019 14:00:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker was 3.7 percent in May 2019 and has averaged 3.6 percent over the last year. A year ago the Wage Growth Tracker stood at 3.2 percent. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=E9CC4DB0-7606-4C84-94CA-41B6D0C64E4D E9CC4DB0-7606-4C84-94CA-41B6D0C64E4D Fri, 14 Jun 2019 10:36:00 EST On June 14, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 2.1 percent, up from 1.4 percent on June 7. View GDPNow for more details. Over the Cliff's Edge? Incentives Hurting Low-Wage Workers https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/economic-research/2019/06/13/over-the-cliffs-edge-some-incentives-hurting-low-wage-workers?item=94DAEE03-829B-452F-A3E9-B614685C2139 94DAEE03-829B-452F-A3E9-B614685C2139 Thu, 13 Jun 2019 08:00:00 EST Some workers are forced to choose between a pay raise and the loss of a crucial form of public assistance. Economy Matters looks at the vexing phenomenon known as the "benefits cliff" and how to reduce its challenge. Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged at 2.0 Percent https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject/bie?item=A3105E7F-5D91-4823-87CF-0A639D16264D A3105E7F-5D91-4823-87CF-0A639D16264D Wed, 12 Jun 2019 10:00:00 EST Firms anticipate 2.0 percent inflation over the coming year, and firms' sales declined somewhat even as profit margins remained the same compared to normal periods, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=563C6B0A-C3C9-4892-B6E2-38FF5059125D 563C6B0A-C3C9-4892-B6E2-38FF5059125D Wed, 12 Jun 2019 12:04:00 EST The data have been updated to incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. myCPI Features May Data, Sticky-Price CPI Rose 2.3 Percent in May https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject?item=A183A021-0D47-442B-96F6-8B3E158FC99D A183A021-0D47-442B-96F6-8B3E158FC99D Wed, 12 Jun 2019 10:00:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with May data. Compare your personal consumer price index (CPI) with the U.S. average. The sticky-price CPI rose 2.3 percent (on an annualized basis) in May. Implementing the Crapo Bill: An Update https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/banking-and-finance/viewpoint/2019/06/11/the-crapo-bills-implementation-an-update?item=85885D3B-4C17-4127-BE85-733FEC4BD039 85885D3B-4C17-4127-BE85-733FEC4BD039 Tue, 11 Jun 2019 10:00:00 EST The enactment of a bill designed to stimulate economic growth has big implications for banks. Economy Matters' "ViewPoint" looks at some of the bill's key provisions affecting financial organizations. The ABCs of Elder Financial Exploitation https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/06/abcs-of-elder-financial-exploitation.html?item=1AF40B27-5BA7-4244-9A10-3B1FEE3C380C 1AF40B27-5BA7-4244-9A10-3B1FEE3C380C Mon, 10 Jun 2019 07:00:00 EST As the U.S. and global population gets older, education to help curb elder financial abuse is becoming more critical. Take On Payments observes the June 15 World Elder Abuse Awareness Day by offering some information about the crime. Labor Report First Look Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=578C0A26-C6F7-4D3D-AF34-7C72BD2A137D 578C0A26-C6F7-4D3D-AF34-7C72BD2A137D Fri, 07 Jun 2019 08:50:00 EST The Labor Report First Look for May offers an updated snapshot of current and historical employment data. We update the First Look's data with each release of the Employment Situation Summary from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which next occurs on July 5. Labor Market Tracking Tools Updated with May Data https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=ED18FE85-FDE2-471D-BC9B-2C617AB46E53 ED18FE85-FDE2-471D-BC9B-2C617AB46E53 Fri, 07 Jun 2019 10:00:00 EST What do May employment data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. The Tax Cut and Jobs Act, SALT, and the Blue State Blues: It's All Relative https://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2019/06/the-tax-cut-and-jobs-act-salt-and-the-blue-state-blues-its-all-relative.html?item=36C87D9F-9190-43BE-AD6F-2EEB5F58A28C 36C87D9F-9190-43BE-AD6F-2EEB5F58A28C Fri, 07 Jun 2019 10:00:00 EST The recent tax law's differing impact across states, and the political freight it might carry, has been intensely debated. A new macroblog post crunches some numbers to see how accurate the perceptions are. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=382BC2CE-7D78-470D-92A4-F4D16FB78F22 382BC2CE-7D78-470D-92A4-F4D16FB78F22 Fri, 07 Jun 2019 11:06:00 EST On June 7, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.4 percent, down from 1.5 percent on June 6. View GDPNow for more details. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=855F4477-0CC9-4728-8ADA-67430E8390AE 855F4477-0CC9-4728-8ADA-67430E8390AE Thu, 06 Jun 2019 11:21:00 EST On June 6, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.5 percent, up from 1.3 percent on June 3. View GDPNow for more details. Beige Book: Tight Labor Market Crimps Hiring, Boosts Training https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/regional-economics/beige-book/2019/06/05/employers-note-ongoing-labor-market-tightness?item=A54A62A6-3E68-4F50-A91B-BEF8E8287251 A54A62A6-3E68-4F50-A91B-BEF8E8287251 Wed, 05 Jun 2019 09:33:00 EST The newest Beige Book shows employers continuing to grapple with the effects of a historically tight job market. Economy Matters summarizes this finding and describes other regional economic observations. Financial Tips from the Atlanta Fed: Summer Travel https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/financial-tips/summer-travel?item=5F6BAA88-4CF4-40E9-BC6E-C8C80EEF4799 5F6BAA88-4CF4-40E9-BC6E-C8C80EEF4799 Mon, 03 Jun 2019 08:00:00 EST Is going on vacation part of your summer plans? Our tips can help you safeguard your financial well-being before you hit the road for summer fun. Hitting the Brakes on the Cashless Society https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/06/hitting-the-brakes-on-the-cashless-society.html?item=C527A3E2-A5C5-4EA8-8BA8-3687AFDCAFAC C527A3E2-A5C5-4EA8-8BA8-3687AFDCAFAC Mon, 03 Jun 2019 07:00:00 EST What is the real cost of banning cash at the point of sale? Take On Payments looks at some recent efforts by local and state governments to halt retailers from going cashless. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=8EA3283F-3FDA-4B82-9468-115646C6ADFC 8EA3283F-3FDA-4B82-9468-115646C6ADFC Mon, 03 Jun 2019 10:38:00 EST On June 3, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.3 percent, up from 1.2 percent on May 31. View GDPNow for more details. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=AFB41D94-AC32-4D74-86F9-F454F3573132 AFB41D94-AC32-4D74-86F9-F454F3573132 Fri, 31 May 2019 10:17:00 EST On May 31, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.2 percent, down from 1.3 percent on May 24. View GDPNow for more details. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=B8A36591-606A-4DE2-A591-4B8D9F1E5359 B8A36591-606A-4DE2-A591-4B8D9F1E5359 Fri, 31 May 2019 11:19:00 EST The data have been updated to incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. "A Puzzle That Everyone Wants to Solve": Discussing the Price-Rent Ratio https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/190530-discussing-price-rent-ratio?item=201222F1-3A11-47CF-B11B-E019C5C8A7F7 201222F1-3A11-47CF-B11B-E019C5C8A7F7 Thu, 30 May 2019 07:00:00 EST Sometimes an area's rents increase faster than house prices. But sometimes they don’t. This episode of the Economy Matters podcast discusses the price-rent ratio and what it indicates about housing markets.  Survey of Business Uncertainty Released https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=A8060268-3E4E-4CE9-9E61-3D2749DA917F A8060268-3E4E-4CE9-9E61-3D2749DA917F Wed, 29 May 2019 09:30:00 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. CDFIs: We Want to Hear from You! http://frb.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_aXE7xYNXY17IrEV?item=20AAC380-6959-4491-85AC-79BECB84E33C 20AAC380-6959-4491-85AC-79BECB84E33C Tue, 28 May 2019 09:58:00 EST Take the Federal Reserve's 2019 CDFI Survey today! You can help policymakers and communities better understand the impact of CDFIs nationwide. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases Slightly https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=A39A5DF5-517E-4D63-9385-9B72F33512C0 A39A5DF5-517E-4D63-9385-9B72F33512C0 Fri, 24 May 2019 09:21:00 EST On May 24, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.3 percent, up from 1.2 percent on May 16. View GDPNow for more details. Could Federal Privacy Law Happen in 2019? https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/05/could-federal-privacy-law-happen-in-2019.html?item=153C8884-1E33-43B3-A4FE-9FE89BA1E718 153C8884-1E33-43B3-A4FE-9FE89BA1E718 Mon, 20 May 2019 10:05:00 EST When Europe implemented its General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) last year, companies around the globe began strengthening their privacy policies. Read Take On Payments to learn how the GDPR may still be influencing the United States. Cashless Stores and Cash Users https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/publications/notesfromthevault/05-cashless-stores-and-cash-users-2019-05-20?item=5BE3DB3F-F676-4875-B7B1-484257409D9D 5BE3DB3F-F676-4875-B7B1-484257409D9D Mon, 20 May 2019 10:49:00 EST With the emergence of cashless stores, how does this change affect consumers who lack credit or debit cards? Notes from the Vault characterizes consumers who pay cash for in-person purchases and those who do not have credit or debit cards. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=5FC2A2FE-1AEA-4748-8AF4-91266E4E1E97 5FC2A2FE-1AEA-4748-8AF4-91266E4E1E97 Thu, 16 May 2019 09:47:00 EST On May 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.2 percent, up from 1.1 percent on May 15. View GDPNow for more details. For Some Businesses, Online Lending Takes On Greater Role https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/banking-and-finance/2019/05/16/for-some-businesses-online-lending-takes-on-greater-role?item=9DADDBB7-4A38-4C94-BA3D-81F7B23ED145 9DADDBB7-4A38-4C94-BA3D-81F7B23ED145 Thu, 16 May 2019 17:03:00 EST When small firms seek loans, an increasing number of them turn to online lenders. Economy Matters looks at data from a recent Federal Reserve survey to understand the underlying trends. Business Inflation Expectations Increased Slightly to 2.0 Percent https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject/bie?item=C76CC636-5925-4092-AEE0-54ACFB6B3F67 C76CC636-5925-4092-AEE0-54ACFB6B3F67 Wed, 15 May 2019 10:00:00 EST Firms anticipate 2.0 percent inflation over the coming year, and firms' sales and profit margins remained roughly the same compared to normal periods as profit margins improved somewhat, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Declines https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=F585D671-E3D3-4E29-AABF-D3E9D9CC2861 F585D671-E3D3-4E29-AABF-D3E9D9CC2861 Wed, 15 May 2019 10:22:00 EST On May 15, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.1 percent, down from 1.6 percent on May 9. View GDPNow for more details. What Can We Learn about Fraud from the United Kingdom? https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/05/what-can-we-learn-about-fraud-from-united-kingdom.html?item=0DBC56BC-3336-41BB-8F15-CC8D1FD61CD7 0DBC56BC-3336-41BB-8F15-CC8D1FD61CD7 Mon, 13 May 2019 10:05:00 EST Nobody knows what the future will bring, but we can learn what could happen from the experiences of others. As the U.S. payments industry continues moving toward contactless and real-time payments, Take On Payments looks at the U.K. experience for insight into possible fraud trends. Market Probability Tracker Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=D52F87BB-8391-466C-BC80-C44F5A8CD63D D52F87BB-8391-466C-BC80-C44F5A8CD63D Sat, 11 May 2019 10:00:00 EST On Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released April's Consumer Price Index. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. myCPI Features April Data, Sticky-Price CPI Rose 2.7 Percent in April https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject?item=948E0E2F-7D06-4735-A85A-09211A9E56AB 948E0E2F-7D06-4735-A85A-09211A9E56AB Fri, 10 May 2019 10:00:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with April data. Compare your personal consumer price index (CPI) with the U.S. average. The sticky-price CPI rose 2.7 percent (on an annualized basis) in April. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=2CF2D8D7-21CF-42B1-BC65-F26CBC6D41BB 2CF2D8D7-21CF-42B1-BC65-F26CBC6D41BB Fri, 10 May 2019 11:08:00 EST The data have been updated to incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. Wage Growth Tracker Up Slightly to 3.6 Percent in April https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/wage-growth-tracker?item=2E0D19F4-9F7C-421B-9B3D-8038E84A026C 2E0D19F4-9F7C-421B-9B3D-8038E84A026C Thu, 09 May 2019 16:43:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker was 3.6 percent in April, up from 3.5 percent in March and the same as its 12-month average. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=5669AC44-57BB-4D33-BD75-FA3C75B21B62 5669AC44-57BB-4D33-BD75-FA3C75B21B62 Thu, 09 May 2019 10:22:00 EST On May 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.6 percent, down from 1.7 percent on May 3. View GDPNow for more details. Red State, Blue State: Examining the Tax Law's Spending Effects https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/economic-research/2019/05/09/red-state-blue-state-examining-the-tax-laws-spending-effects?item=662FE156-A753-45FA-8213-A7A6C97A734B 662FE156-A753-45FA-8213-A7A6C97A734B Thu, 09 May 2019 10:25:00 EST The 2017 tax law implemented extensive changes to people's deductions, but the law's impact varied widely among states. Economy Matters looks at some conclusions based on recent research from the Atlanta Fed. How Consumers Get Cash: Evidence from a Diary Survey https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/banking-and-payments/consumer-payments/research-data-reports/2019/05/08/how-consumers-get-cash-evidence-from-a-diary-survey?item=CCB10AF0-1835-4973-B440-575F8DB1EDBE CCB10AF0-1835-4973-B440-575F8DB1EDBE Wed, 08 May 2019 15:30:00 EST Friday is the most popular day for getting cash. Learn about this and other key findings from the 2017 Diary of Consumer Payment Choice in a new Atlanta Fed Research Data Report. Improving Labor Force Participation Dynamics https://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2019/05/improving-labor-force-participation.html?item=6EADA4A8-1457-412F-8E40-2100A25E0DF7 6EADA4A8-1457-412F-8E40-2100A25E0DF7 Mon, 06 May 2019 14:30:00 EST Firms are hiring at a robust pace, but growth in the supply of labor might be relieving some of the job market's tightness. A new macroblog post looks at some factors that have influenced the recent rebound in labor force participation by those in their prime working years. Business Email Compromise Moves Mainstream https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/05/business-email-compromise-moves-mainstream.html?item=37984D4D-FC3B-46BB-BCA7-D05BF12CA5B5 37984D4D-FC3B-46BB-BCA7-D05BF12CA5B5 Mon, 06 May 2019 10:05:00 EST Having achieved success in tricking businesses and executives into transferring funds into fraudulent accounts, criminals expanded their targets to include ordinary individuals. Take On Payments looks at this new application of email compromise. Labor Report First Look Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=69E3D758-0A11-477F-9262-58A748379A6D 69E3D758-0A11-477F-9262-58A748379A6D Fri, 03 May 2019 09:20:00 EST The Labor Report First Look for April offers an updated snapshot of current and historical employment data. We update the First Look's data with each release of the Employment Situation Summary from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which next occurs on June 7. Labor Market Tracking Tools Updated with April Data https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=D17E026A-DD7E-4F0E-AB5B-04CFB30C0AEC D17E026A-DD7E-4F0E-AB5B-04CFB30C0AEC Fri, 03 May 2019 10:00:00 EST What do April employment data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Rises https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=1745D698-C0CC-4F0B-81D9-2EB61DE00092 1745D698-C0CC-4F0B-81D9-2EB61DE00092 Fri, 03 May 2019 10:06:00 EST On May 3, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.7 percent, up from 1.2 percent on May 1. View GDPNow for more details. More Than Just Music City: Nashville Cultivates Diverse Economy https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/regional-economics/2019/05/02/more-than-just-music-city-nashville-cultivates-diverse-economy?item=06B50C17-A038-4ED3-B697-3E390269AAF9 06B50C17-A038-4ED3-B697-3E390269AAF9 Thu, 02 May 2019 09:00:00 EST Many people think of Nashville simply as the capital of country music. But Economy Matters notes that its vibrant economy, low unemployment, and robust employment mix put the city's growth among the region's most impressive. Financial Tips from the Atlanta Fed: Homeownership https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/financial-tips/homeownership?item=30613FC0-ADD5-4946-B8A2-4DC41A1B0D4A 30613FC0-ADD5-4946-B8A2-4DC41A1B0D4A Wed, 01 May 2019 06:30:00 EST Is owning a home a financial goal for you? Our tips can help you understand factors to consider if you are thinking about buying a home now or in the future. Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=5B6356A4-E471-41BA-A137-0FFE2E0DF975 5B6356A4-E471-41BA-A137-0FFE2E0DF975 Wed, 01 May 2019 11:20:00 EST On May 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.2 percent, down from 1.3 percent on April 29. View GDPNow for more details. Cashless Stores and Cash Users https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/05/01/cashless-stores-and-cash-users?item=EA6FC237-49C1-46FA-860A-C82745245ECE EA6FC237-49C1-46FA-860A-C82745245ECE Wed, 01 May 2019 14:30:00 EST Investigating the emergence of cashless stores, the author of this Atanta Fed research paper looks at consumers who pay cash for in-person purchases and those who lack credit or debit cards. His model calibrates the burden of switching to cashless stores imposed on consumers without credit or debit cards. Next-Gen Security https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/04/next-gen-security.html ?item=E1094E16-F624-4707-AD49-D72EAAF52A04 E1094E16-F624-4707-AD49-D72EAAF52A04 Mon, 29 Apr 2019 10:05:00 EST Massachusetts high school students recently participated in a conference and competition whose theme was personal financial security. Read Take On Payments to learn how the next gen of Massachusetts bankers has next-gen security within their sights. Initial Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Released https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=1900B173-22FF-4374-9781-962F74FF90DA 1900B173-22FF-4374-9781-962F74FF90DA Mon, 29 Apr 2019 10:28:00 EST On April 29, the initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019 is 1.3 percent. View GDPNow for more details. Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/04/30/search-complementarities-aggregate-fluctuations-and-fiscal-policy?item=06CC16BF-D444-4460-923F-27718DC1DCDD 06CC16BF-D444-4460-923F-27718DC1DCDD Mon, 29 Apr 2019 14:00:00 EST The authors develop a business cycle model that includes various types of equilibria. They consider an active equilibrium and a passive equilibrium and how government intervention affects economic recovery in both in periods of protracted economic downturns. Intellectual Property, Tariffs, and International Trade Dynamics https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/04/30/intellectual-property-tariffs-and-international-trade-dynamics?item=BD38CE3D-BF73-4365-9E1D-C0753FBE0877 BD38CE3D-BF73-4365-9E1D-C0753FBE0877 Mon, 29 Apr 2019 14:30:00 EST Atlanta Fed research examines the U.S.-China trade relationship through the prism of tariffs' effects on protections for U.S. intellectual property. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=CCE4E726-D939-4A99-AC6B-E304601F6788 CCE4E726-D939-4A99-AC6B-E304601F6788 Mon, 29 Apr 2019 16:01:00 EST The data have been extended through this quarter and incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=873E5929-2B2D-47F3-84B8-B3925DDFB23E 873E5929-2B2D-47F3-84B8-B3925DDFB23E Thu, 25 Apr 2019 10:44:00 EST On April 25, the final GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.7 percent, down from 2.8 percent on April 19. View GDPNow for more details. "Our Habits Are Slow to Change": A Discussion about Payments https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/190425-habits-slow-to-change-discussion-about-payments?item=D3AD9D8D-3F40-4D1A-BD24-F25A3ED50846 D3AD9D8D-3F40-4D1A-BD24-F25A3ED50846 Thu, 25 Apr 2019 07:00:00 EST Achieving a safe yet convenient payments system requires both constant innovation and attention to consumers' ingrained preferences. Two payments experts discuss the evolving U.S. payments system on this episode of the Economy Matters podcast.  Fractional Reserve Cryptocurrency Banks https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/publications/notesfromthevault/04-fractional-reserve-cryptocurrency-banks-2019-04-25?item=4865108D-9D1E-41A2-9C33-2D3C9DDECA4A 4865108D-9D1E-41A2-9C33-2D3C9DDECA4A Thu, 25 Apr 2019 10:31:00 EST Some observers argue that widespread acceptance of cryptocurrency would eliminate banks. Notes from the Vault discusses the potential for cryptocurrency banks along with some related issues. Survey of Business Uncertainty Released https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=FF0905E9-C6C5-4D86-AA85-2F0EC8B1E265 FF0905E9-C6C5-4D86-AA85-2F0EC8B1E265 Wed, 24 Apr 2019 09:00:00 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. The Prepaid Rule: All Jokes Aside https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/04/prepaid-rule-all-jokes-aside.html ?item=6CA82579-AB85-48C7-BC78-1AA791A51839 6CA82579-AB85-48C7-BC78-1AA791A51839 Mon, 22 Apr 2019 10:05:00 EST A new payments rule that took effect on April Fools' Day aims to provide comprehensive consumer protections for prepaid accounts under the Electronic Funds Transfer Act. Take On Payments takes a serious look at this rule. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Steady https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=AB1BC726-C684-4354-A625-6A0634F3C120 AB1BC726-C684-4354-A625-6A0634F3C120 Fri, 19 Apr 2019 09:44:00 EST On April 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.8 percent, unchanged from April 18. View GDPNow for more details. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=5F764ECD-2145-4F4D-B426-05C5D369E258 5F764ECD-2145-4F4D-B426-05C5D369E258 Thu, 18 Apr 2019 09:35:00 EST On April 18, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.8 percent, up from 2.4 percent on April 17. View GDPNow for more details. Beige Book: Employers Note Ongoing Labor Market Tightness https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/regional-economics/beige-book/2019/04/18/beige-book-employers-note-ongoing-labor-market-tightness?item=CCC422EC-4EBA-47AF-98CF-EC34D2D27702 CCC422EC-4EBA-47AF-98CF-EC34D2D27702 Thu, 18 Apr 2019 16:12:00 EST The newest Beige Book indicates that existing home sales in a number of southeastern markets strengthened early this year, helped by a slowing increase in mortgage interest rates. Economy Matters summarizes this finding and others. Bostic Publishes New Research https://case.edu/socialwork/nimc/sites/case.edu.nimc/files/2019-04/Mixed-Income LIHTC Developments in Chicago Bostic et al.pdf?item=688FF6E4-7318-4D1A-A0DD-2E9A32D725C4 688FF6E4-7318-4D1A-A0DD-2E9A32D725C4 Wed, 17 Apr 2019 14:30:00 EST A research paper coauthored by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has just been published in an online volume. The paper investigates the characteristics of mixed-income housing in Chicago financed at least in part with equity from the federal Low Income Housing Tax Credit. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=7076C72B-3D0A-4D88-901D-4F3320B4A917 7076C72B-3D0A-4D88-901D-4F3320B4A917 Wed, 17 Apr 2019 10:35:00 EST On April 17, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.4 percent, up from 2.3 percent on April 8. View GDPNow for more details. Wage Growth Tracker Up Slightly to 3.5 Percent in March https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/wage-growth-tracker?item=69AA0152-C0C5-4813-9553-3F605241C897 69AA0152-C0C5-4813-9553-3F605241C897 Mon, 15 Apr 2019 12:30:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker was little changed in March at 3.5 percent, up from 3.4 percent in February. On a 12 month basis, wage growth has averaged 3.5 percent since December 2018. Market Probability Tracker Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=81E93251-45AC-4E35-82C2-9E4AFD8A64EC 81E93251-45AC-4E35-82C2-9E4AFD8A64EC Thu, 11 Apr 2019 12:00:00 EST On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released March's Consumer Price Index. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. myCPI Features March Data, Sticky-Price CPI Rose 2.7 Percent in March https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject?item=2FF11C56-DEEF-414C-B678-F3B407EC4D6F 2FF11C56-DEEF-414C-B678-F3B407EC4D6F Thu, 11 Apr 2019 12:00:00 EST The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with March data. Compare your personal consumer price index (CPI) with the U.S. average. The sticky-price CPI rose 2.7 percent (on an annualized basis) in March. Business Inflation Expectations Unchanged at 1.9 Percent https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/inflationproject/bie?item=70CCDE67-FD6A-4467-A61A-083CE13B2ED6 70CCDE67-FD6A-4467-A61A-083CE13B2ED6 Wed, 10 Apr 2019 10:00:00 EST Firms anticipate 1.9 percent inflation over the coming year, and firms' sales and profit margins remained roughly the same compared to normal periods, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=745DB0BE-D818-48E9-9C60-5341A0F19239 745DB0BE-D818-48E9-9C60-5341A0F19239 Wed, 10 Apr 2019 12:57:00 EST The data have been updated to incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. Did the 2017 Tax Reform Discriminate against Blue State Voters? https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/07-did-the-2017-tax-reform-discriminate-against-blue-state-voters-2019-04-10?item=DEBA4B62-DF5C-447D-9207-4ED4C91EE9A2 DEBA4B62-DF5C-447D-9207-4ED4C91EE9A2 Wed, 10 Apr 2019 14:31:00 EST New Atlanta Fed research looks at how the 2017 tax reform affected different states in different ways. The Two-Pillar Policy for the RMB https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/08-the-two-pillar-policy-for-the-rmb-2019-04-10?item=73C8E542-F018-4C17-BFC4-A85DCF6D8739 73C8E542-F018-4C17-BFC4-A85DCF6D8739 Wed, 10 Apr 2019 14:35:00 EST Atlanta Fed research examines the renminbi, finding a policy seeking to balance the currency's index stability and exchange rate flexibility. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=DA5DB84C-9251-47EF-9765-F0677085B55F DA5DB84C-9251-47EF-9765-F0677085B55F Mon, 08 Apr 2019 11:27:00 EST On April 8, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.3 percent, up from 2.1 percent on April 2. View GDPNow for more details. Insuring against Cyber Loss https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/04/insuring-against-cyber-loss.html?item=74CC8952-83AD-4501-9F77-30DC9589E1B0 74CC8952-83AD-4501-9F77-30DC9589E1B0 Mon, 08 Apr 2019 12:28:00 EST As the number of cyber attacks continues to grow, what are financial institutions doing to protect themselves? What can a cyber-insurance policy do for them? Take On Payments considers these questions. Read this week's post to learn more. Market Probability Tracker Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=2D13F6B9-54BE-468C-AD3F-3AA604142C1E 2D13F6B9-54BE-468C-AD3F-3AA604142C1E Sat, 06 Apr 2019 09:00:00 EST On Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released March's employment report. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. Labor Report First Look Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=633584BE-09DD-453B-8D1D-D98AE84AA22E 633584BE-09DD-453B-8D1D-D98AE84AA22E Fri, 05 Apr 2019 08:55:00 EST The Labor Report First Look for March offers an updated snapshot of current and historical employment data. We update the First Look's data with each release of the Employment Situation Summary from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which next occurs on May 3. Labor Market Tracking Tools Updated with March Data https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=C6C201A8-FBCD-43EE-A171-17DA499E0DE7 C6C201A8-FBCD-43EE-A171-17DA499E0DE7 Fri, 05 Apr 2019 10:00:00 EST What do March employment data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Steady https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=81F415D7-74DC-4B8B-9E8E-68FBAAFEDBFE 81F415D7-74DC-4B8B-9E8E-68FBAAFEDBFE Tue, 02 Apr 2019 09:45:00 EST On April 2, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.1 percent, unchanged from April 1. View GDPNow for more details. Speaking Publicly on Privacy: A Conversation about Digital Privacy https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/190402-conversation-about-digital-privacy?item=1749E6B8-6A98-4437-A90E-5D9A59BD06D6 1749E6B8-6A98-4437-A90E-5D9A59BD06D6 Tue, 02 Apr 2019 07:00:00 EST Safeguarding personal data is a challenge in our digital era. In this special episode of the Economy Matters podcast, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic speaks with Heinz College professor Alessandro Acquisti about the field of privacy economics.  Contactless Cards: The Future King of Payments? https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/04/contactless-cards-the-future-king-of-payments.html?item=BF3E33E5-5C3D-4CDF-A5A8-8F179B909539 BF3E33E5-5C3D-4CDF-A5A8-8F179B909539 Mon, 01 Apr 2019 13:00:00 EST All signs indicate that this year will be the year of the contactless card in the United States. These "tap and wave" cards use the same technology as mobile phone payments. Take On Payments asks: will contactless muscle out mobile, or help it? First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=A6D79620-D357-4D02-B68F-99EABD57E527 A6D79620-D357-4D02-B68F-99EABD57E527 Mon, 01 Apr 2019 10:00:00 EST On April 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 2.1 percent, up from 1.7 percent on March 29. View GDPNow for more details. Financial Tips from the Atlanta Fed: Financial Behaviors https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/financial-tips/financial-behaviors?item=DED54CD8-245D-4F49-9483-05877D966264 DED54CD8-245D-4F49-9483-05877D966264 Mon, 01 Apr 2019 08:00:00 EST Don't be fooled by your finances! Our tips can help you understand your financial behaviors and provide useful strategies for enhancing your financial future. Atlanta Fed Taylor Rule Utility Updated https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=F243BAE9-5954-4BB2-99F3-F25FC9AE26E4 F243BAE9-5954-4BB2-99F3-F25FC9AE26E4 Fri, 29 Mar 2019 11:19:00 EST The data have been updated to incorporate recent releases from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia as well as Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Rises https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=675CC253-A51A-4649-AC5B-527162BA6278 675CC253-A51A-4649-AC5B-527162BA6278 Fri, 29 Mar 2019 10:52:00 EST On March 29, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 1.7 percent, up from 1.5 percent on March 27. View GDPNow for more details. Carry Factors: Characteristics and Informational Content https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cenfis/publications/notesfromthevault/03-carry-factors-characteristics-and-informational-content-2019-03-29?item=DC372748-F388-4C45-BAFD-D97F77771D33 DC372748-F388-4C45-BAFD-D97F77771D33 Fri, 29 Mar 2019 16:08:00 EST Notes from the Vault discusses the informational content of carry factors for policy analysis. It highlights the predictive content of the bond and commodity carry, respectively, for recessions and inflation, and the commonality in the currency carry. Under Pressure: The Pluses and Minuses of a Hot Economy https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/190328-pluses-and-minuses-of-hot-economy?item=888E8E2B-7D44-4B92-BD4B-197A3522A435 888E8E2B-7D44-4B92-BD4B-197A3522A435 Thu, 28 Mar 2019 07:00:00 EST Does economic history hold any lessons about an economy in a sustained period of full employment? Atlanta Fed economist Julie Hotchkiss discusses her recent research into the question on this episode of the Economy Matters podcast.  Marking Milestones at the Atlanta Fed's Miami Branch https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/inside-the-fed/2019/03/28/marking-milestones-at-the-atlantas-fed-miami-branch?item=1C62F16C-A8B8-410D-AE7F-E39E3FBBD815 1C62F16C-A8B8-410D-AE7F-E39E3FBBD815 Thu, 28 Mar 2019 12:29:00 EST As Women's History Month comes to a close, Economy Matters shines a spotlight on Bevery Ferrell and Marilyn Nieves, two women who shattered the glass ceiling at the Atlanta Fed's Miami Branch. Survey of Business Uncertainty Released https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=70BCC3C2-E220-4924-8248-1437303D16A3 70BCC3C2-E220-4924-8248-1437303D16A3 Wed, 27 Mar 2019 09:00:00 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=CE68CD0D-6A98-443F-8A17-6B964AF21EA1 CE68CD0D-6A98-443F-8A17-6B964AF21EA1 Wed, 27 Mar 2019 10:00:00 EST On March 27, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 1.5 percent, up from 1.3 percent on March 26. View GDPNow for more details. Is Stricter Regulation of Incentive Compensation the Missing Piece? https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/06-is-stricter-regulation-of-incentive-compensation-the-missing-piece-2019-03-27?item=16DD1E61-4C2F-4AD4-A45A-FBCFCB543D73 16DD1E61-4C2F-4AD4-A45A-FBCFCB543D73 Wed, 27 Mar 2019 14:39:00 EST New Atlanta Fed research asks if regulation of incentive compensation would enhance financial system stability. Intermediation in Markets for Goods and Markets for Assets https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/05-intermediation-in-markets-for-goods-and-markets-for-assets-2019-03-27?item=4B946757-C994-402D-9DD7-9AAC86B8A875 4B946757-C994-402D-9DD7-9AAC86B8A875 Wed, 27 Mar 2019 14:38:00 EST New Atlanta Fed research examines intermediation in financial markets, finding that it is more prone to instability than in goods markets. Young Hispanic Women Investing More in Education: Good News for Labor Force Participation https://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2019/03/young-hispanic-women-investing-more-in-education-good-news-for-labor-force-participation.html?item=50C732C2-B5DE-49EF-BA24-5651CF5F65C5 50C732C2-B5DE-49EF-BA24-5651CF5F65C5 Tue, 26 Mar 2019 14:30:00 EST Among the notable trends in labor force participation is the increased role of Hispanic women in the workforce. A new macroblog post looks at some factors at work in this rise, including a growing emphasis on educational attainment by young Hispanic women. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=7DC78511-C7BE-4EF1-98CC-0D42FFA511DB 7DC78511-C7BE-4EF1-98CC-0D42FFA511DB Tue, 26 Mar 2019 09:38:00 EST On March 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 1.3 percent, up from 1.2 percent on March 22. View GDPNow for more details. Safeguarding Privacy and Ethics in AI https://takeonpayments.frbatlanta.org/2019/03/safeguarding-privacy-and-ethics-in-al.html?item=2A915F97-B3EA-478E-B492-6FC6C796CA6C 2A915F97-B3EA-478E-B492-6FC6C796CA6C Mon, 25 Mar 2019 14:28:00 EST Artificial intelligence systems offer us huge benefits more efficiencies, stronger security, and better health among them. But how do we make sure they're used ethically? Read Take On Payments to learn about some guidelines designed to protect people's rights and privacy. Soft Skills Lingo Bingo https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/education/maximum-employment-matters/soft-skills-lessons-for-life/2019/lingo-bingo?item=8BB9925E-4567-4724-A979-E20363ADE016 8BB9925E-4567-4724-A979-E20363ADE016 Mon, 25 Mar 2019 13:00:00 EST This lesson and bingo game will teach your students some of the traits that employers value in workers. Explore concepts related to soft skills and game on! Annual Report Examines Economic Mobility https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/economy-matters/annual-report/2018?item=5DFC0B1F-7724-478F-9C4C-BFB7C4AA7322 5DFC0B1F-7724-478F-9C4C-BFB7C4AA7322 Mon, 25 Mar 2019 10:00:00 EST The Atlanta Fed has released its 2019 annual report, One Region. Many Economies. Read the report, the first of a four-part series, to learn about the Southeast's varied economies and the steps people are taking to improve economic mobility and resilience. A Theory of Housing Demand Shocks https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/research/publications/wp/2019/04-a-theory-of-housing-demand-shocks-2019-03-25?item=E54FAFD7-7915-4153-A37E-B3E5A11A480D E54FAFD7-7915-4153-A37E-B3E5A11A480D Mon, 25 Mar 2019 11:20:00 EST New Atlanta Fed research provides a microeconomic foundation that accounts for volatile price-to-rent ratios in house prices. First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Rises https://www.frbatlanta.org:443/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=4B3BFF0C-E8C4-4D14-8462-A0D901B8A88D 4B3BFF0C-E8C4-4D14-8462-A0D901B8A88D Fri, 22 Mar 2019 10:56:00 EST On March 22, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 is 1.2 percent, up from 0.4 percent on March 13. View GDPNow for more details.